TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arsenalof Arsenal, Tottenham
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78ad…45ccbacked Tottenham62c24,048$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00010962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Arsenal38c16,517$6,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,240.4521853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal42c8,062$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,651.6910636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Tottenham62c8,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9110148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham60c6,137$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.276,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Arsenal37c5,364$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.612,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Arsenal40c4,097$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.461,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Arsenal42c3,164$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.254447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Tottenham60c2,013$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.7110751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Arsenal38c1,304$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Tottenham63c973.7$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Arsenal43c891.86$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.368243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Arsenal39c650$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.530050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arsenal37c562$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9720239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Tottenham62c540.02$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.814146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Tottenham56c492.9$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.2337036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Tottenham60c473.56$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.991,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal40c402.2$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7337840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8450…b5a9backed Arsenal39c393$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.731050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Arsenal53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.367463.5%47 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Tottenham63c319.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Arsenal38c272.19$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.195545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Arsenal44c259.64$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.123741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb6…9decbacked Tottenham59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a6…6b8dbacked Arsenal42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Arsenal44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Tottenham11c195.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5812020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac71…d8cabacked Tottenham59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Arsenal40c159$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.47252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Arsenal43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.58242.7%35 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c2…57d4backed Arsenal34c148$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.242853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Arsenal44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3635328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb97e…4d9abacked Arsenal37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+43.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tottenham56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Arsenal42c127.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6720150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Arsenal40c123.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2523435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0843…97f5backed Tottenham58c121.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711850%9 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Arsenal41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.817955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Arsenal38c120$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.45347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…79cbbacked Tottenham59c118.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Tottenham56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-68%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Arsenal41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Arsenal40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Tottenham59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5911448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x536b…8134backed Arsenal39c88.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Arsenal43c83.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.459335.5%33 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Arsenal40c80.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4115949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4522…ff26backed Arsenal40c77.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.771233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2280…3df3backed Arsenal39c77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.973933.3%13 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Arsenal39c76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Arsenal40c75.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.079436.2%34 W · 60 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb1…fa48backed Tottenham59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Tottenham55c67.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1323353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Arsenal45c66.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0229146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Arsenal40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Arsenal40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.510031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Tottenham61c53.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8521154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Arsenal39c53.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.856955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Tottenham58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe22…9a1abacked Arsenal40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Arsenal42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6216136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Tottenham59c46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.142544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8f…05a1backed Arsenal44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Tottenham58c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.944742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Tottenham59c42.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256045%27 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Tottenham59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked Tottenham62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255364.2%34 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Tottenham57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.86330.2%19 W · 44 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Arsenal41c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0119853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Arsenal41c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x725a…c06cbacked Arsenal43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.883638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Arsenal41c34.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tottenham56c34.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0949254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Arsenal44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.094235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Arsenal40c32.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521747.9%104 W · 113 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1986…cf16backed Tottenham67c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.771850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Tottenham54c29.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.671643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb967…3bfdbacked Tottenham59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Tottenham59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa9…ac33backed Tottenham59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Arsenal40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513954%75 W · 64 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1690…4bf8backed Tottenham62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff6a…50abbacked Tottenham74c23.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b9…c9c8backed Tottenham59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1317…00e8backed Tottenham58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Tottenham58c19.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5929751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.