Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9853aacb08bbf1a1c331720bdc401649e4f6825c5ba8297553d7cd0ecc87e0b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.97 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 38c | 7,846$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.98 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 59c | 3,450$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.13 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 3,169$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.61 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 54c | 726.18$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.94 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 42c | 550$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 63c | 503.89$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.41 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 62c | 444$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.28 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 35c | 430$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 38c | 391.66$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 38c | 381.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 36c | 221.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ece…50f0backed Over | 38c | 184.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Over | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 31c | 142.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 38c | 130.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Under | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 62c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 37c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 63c | 99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 95.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 85.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Over | 39c | 76.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 64c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 30c | 43.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 55c | 42.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…1148backed Over | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…510ebacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 53c | 28.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 39c | 25.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.