South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-11-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf41688f77ace0d73b9f1f1296b5300a94d6d8cf265ee4bf5c5dd4bb6a2b1f53a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 12c | 30,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…23a4backed No | 65c | 700.03$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…6e26backed Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 34c | 332.86$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed No | 66c | 226.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 219$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 211.32$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 14c | 208.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 78c | 134.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 34c | 129.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…e409backed Yes | 26c | 95.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 34c | 89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 36c | 69.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 30c | 63.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 58.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Yes | 35c | 55.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 35c | 39.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 32c | 33.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…1233backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…6dd1backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked Yes | 37c | 28.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…83cfbacked No | 64c | 20.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…f2f4backed No | 70c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 70c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…076ebacked No | 71c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-11-10?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-10?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.