South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab7c2e124675879dad056b145362dc709f20a1d932bc2a04c221d4bbdb9b1ed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.73 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 66c | 24,350$16,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,278.93 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.98 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 3,564$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 66c | 3,193$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.7 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 2,287$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.16 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 66c | 1,828$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,306$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 33c | 912.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 834$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 31c | 640$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 66c | 499.92$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 26c | 429.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 34c | 398.47$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 297.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Yes | 33c | 238$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Yes | 34c | 202.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…f2f4backed Yes | 33c | 176.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 32c | 147.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…c7b4backed Yes | 34c | 66.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 34c | 65.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 34c | 64.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…7d12backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…e009backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…076ebacked Yes | 33c | 36.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 35.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 64c | 23.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-10?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-11-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.