TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sweden win on 2025-11-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed No45c26,843$12,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,763.8416331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes55c19,088$10,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,498.312451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c17,670$8,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,612.334,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes58c13,027$7,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,564.1974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Yes56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.992729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No53c6,933$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.047354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Yes57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65d…4925backed No42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No41c3,948$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.928133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No43c3,143$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.536643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes53c2,274$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes57c2,111$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9921140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes58c1,843$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.954351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No64c1,797$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.411040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003129%9 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes54c1,763$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.7627039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c1,699$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.383,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes57c1,544$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.451,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No40c1,504$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.2722041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0191…93f0backed Yes48c1,500$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.851533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8704537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.79850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes6c1,111$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9823738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ed…4927backed Yes58c1,000$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5791855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6700…105bbacked Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807038.6%27 W · 43 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+69%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes56c999.96$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9838526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No51c953.01$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.211,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes57c933.15$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.2714537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No43c929.32$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4117048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No54c879.54$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3135942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes37c879.06$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5134630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e3…6396backed Yes57c873.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+57.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9514…0dd6backed Yes56c597.66$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Yes43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.47135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes59c567.67$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29523622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes53c470$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.13441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked No46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.786229%18 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes58c400$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2335154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No42c399.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+58.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d20…4b27backed Yes55c381.82$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…7c2fbacked Yes58c339$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.31922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No64c312.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9821444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151540%6 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes57c299.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes37c289.57$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.124839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe22…9a1abacked Yes42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71e5…13febacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes31c257.63$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.598538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed No55c254.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.551060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes58c241.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked No44c232.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.131758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+78.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked No55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Yes58c224.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes56c219$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.737247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3924837.1%92 W · 156 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes58c215.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1128949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes58c187.88$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.975942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes57c182.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10416753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…3094backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Yes62c158$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.963818.4%7 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0b…c61bbacked Yes38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5750%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Yes56c149.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.993132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed No40c148.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.717350.7%37 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Yes44c137.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No58c113.35$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.185238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a72…4693backed Yes57c111.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked No44c111.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.225339.6%21 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98dc…2eafbacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564425%11 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573476.5%26 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c89…36aebacked No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…9b72backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac8…cd42backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No44c94.72$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.328145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed No43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.023855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes41c89.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.546222.6%14 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No41c82.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.914040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes45c81.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6416841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…714ebacked Yes59c76.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.