Fifa International · resolved market
Will Slovenia win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d8ca93523bebc383774681e735c71e29a9dfeb7e146da357fb99675d06d651c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 34c | 4,454$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.17 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 2,659$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.62 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 2,050$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 17c | 1,469$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 1,162$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.88 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…dabfbacked Yes | 17c | 1,130$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 21c | 1,037$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes | 22c | 902.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4d23backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 19c | 806$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 48c | 738.67$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.29 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 29c | 680$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 22c | 528.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…6396backed No | 35c | 480$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…f4b1backed Yes | 17c | 429.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 34c | 416.15$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.33 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 75c | 355.88$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.92 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 6c | 309.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 21c | 298.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 74c | 259.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 21c | 242.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 17c | 217.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 64c | 194.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 21c | 154.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 150.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa199…1b4fbacked Yes | 19c | 149.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…fac8backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf2…1d7ebacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 18c | 126.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 16c | 119.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…2f17backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…b841backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…36aebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 81.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Yes | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 37c | 75.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed No | 36c | 73.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 18c | 69.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 52c | 67.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 17c | 64.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x091b…861fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 46c | 50.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 21c | 48.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 67c | 38.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 62c | 29.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5749…2244backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 80c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovenia win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Sweden vs. Slovenia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sweden win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.