NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc141cdb27677b0111d25e092855064778774283a07c380d488205cb88390a9ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Titansof Seahawks, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Seahawks | 54c | 22,703$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Titans | 44c | 20,010$8,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,205.7 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Seahawks | 56c | 19,911$11,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,150.24 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Titans | 46c | 9,304$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.43 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seahawks | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Titans | 49c | 3,398$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Seahawks | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Seahawks | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Titans | 47c | 984.33$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.69 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Seahawks | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Titans | 47c | 864.87$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.38 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Seahawks | 53c | 747.17$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Seahawks | 53c | 671$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.61 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Titans | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Titans | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Titans | 47c | 469.83$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.45 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Seahawks | 53c | 464$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.98 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Seahawks | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Seahawks | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…aecabacked Seahawks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Seahawks | 52c | 382.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Titans | 48c | 339$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…b4b0backed Seahawks | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Titans | 47c | 294$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.51 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Titans | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Titans | 44c | 277$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seahawks | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Titans | 48c | 250$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Titans | 48c | 242.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Seahawks | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Seahawks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf326…52f9backed Seahawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Seahawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Titans | 46c | 156.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Titans | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Titans | 47c | 127$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Titans | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Seahawks | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Titans | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked Titans | 47c | 85.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Seahawks | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Titans | 48c | 40.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Seahawks | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…30babacked Seahawks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…bf3bbacked Seahawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Seahawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Seahawks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…82e5backed Seahawks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…2fdbbacked Seahawks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Titans | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Titans | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Seahawks | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Titans | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…8f36backed Titans | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…7a06backed Seahawks | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Titans | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…b85cbacked Titans | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Seahawks | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Seahawks vs. TitansSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: O/U 39.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: O/U 40.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: O/U 41.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)Titans won
- Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.