NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38d1c93a83203de467d22ab662cd7184312834be50813dded06d6e810bfadf5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Titansof Seahawks, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Titans | 54c | 26,133$14,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,033.98 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Seahawks | 46c | 23,194$10,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,669.07 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Seahawks | 46c | 18,945$8,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,730.28 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Titans | 51c | 9,685$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.5 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seahawks | 46c | 6,313$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.79 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Titans | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Titans | 54c | 2,401$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.91 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Seahawks | 46c | 2,050$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Seahawks | 42c | 1,940$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.8 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seahawks | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Titans | 49c | 1,471$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seahawks | 45c | 1,301$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.34 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seahawks | 46c | 1,255$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.18 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seahawks | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Titans | 53c | 999.99$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Titans | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Seahawks | 46c | 486.74$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Titans | 55c | 366.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.92 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Seahawks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Titans | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Titans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Titans | 54c | 189.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Titans | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Titans | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Seahawks | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Titans | 54c | 115.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Titans | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Seahawks | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Seahawks | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Seahawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Seahawks | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Titans | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Seahawks | 46c | 75.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…b26abacked Seahawks | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Seahawks | 46c | 67.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Seahawks | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Seahawks | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Seahawks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Titans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Titans | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Seahawks | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Seahawks | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Titans | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Seahawks vs. TitansSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: O/U 39.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: O/U 40.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: O/U 41.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)Titans won
- Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.