TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Titansof Seahawks, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$601,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$601,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Titans51c163,697$83,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,564.7486547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Titans52c86,983$45,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,751.6517041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Seahawks49c71,000$35,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,10010026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ec…2493backed Seahawks48c70,000$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,6001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Seahawks50c67,930$33,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,96516836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Titans50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0005855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Titans54c55,355$29,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,463.33345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Seahawks46c55,355$25,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,463.37554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Seahawks50c55,000$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,5005236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Titans50c51,083$25,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,541.522450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Seahawks49c37,632$18,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,439.6812944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Seahawks50c33,386$16,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,69319645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Titans51c18,452$9,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,041.5211168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Seahawks49c12,500$6,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1252025%5 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Seahawks48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8007051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Titans50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Seahawks48c5,625$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7003852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Titans51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9724053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Seahawks49c4,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20526547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Seahawks49c4,005$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.918044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Titans50c3,819$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.821,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Seahawks50c3,750$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8657732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Seahawks49c3,730$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.8456852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Seahawks49c2,651$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29920039.5%79 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Titans51c2,640$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.7975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Seahawks50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2505246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Seahawks49c2,222$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.784847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Seahawks49c2,050$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.528447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Titans50c2,040$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02044652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Seahawks49c1,998$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.022540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…5019backed Titans52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.085141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Seahawks50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75014945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Titans51c1,301$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.4351352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Seahawks50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Seahawks49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Seahawks50c1,019$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.3113842%58 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Seahawks50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006549.2%32 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Seahawks50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013145.8%60 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Titans51c999.99$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3365048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Titans52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.545754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Seahawks48c802$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.961816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Seahawks48c762.74$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.2937350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed Seahawks51c752.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8567…e215backed Seahawks49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Seahawks50c555$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.57444.6%33 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Seahawks49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24518744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Titans51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19613641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Seahawks49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19618650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Titans50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Seahawks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Seahawks49c400$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19711545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed Seahawks51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008450%42 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Seahawks48c375$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807731.2%24 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Seahawks49c346.5$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.794837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Titans50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15023647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Seahawks50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506030%18 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Seahawks48c292$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1611047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Seahawks51c251.55$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.092729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Seahawks67c242$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2373651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9c…45e0backed Seahawks49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Seahawks49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Seahawks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1977…32e8backed Titans50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019948.2%96 W · 103 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Seahawks49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9820949.8%104 W · 105 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Titans50c179$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1783447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe176…58e4backed Seahawks50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Seahawks49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.57057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Seahawks49c145$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0515851.9%82 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabdf…3cbcbacked Seahawks49c134.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Titans34c131$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1135648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Seahawks50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked Titans53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.214660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce32…a145backed Seahawks48c106.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85a9…bb66backed Seahawks49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76dc…28f4backed Seahawks50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9da3…a7efbacked Seahawks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012054.2%65 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Seahawks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507750.6%39 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Seahawks48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Titans50c87.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7741450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Titans31c85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.519124.6%47 W · 144 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Seahawks50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd547…5ed7backed Titans53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.62556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Seahawks50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.58361.4%51 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Titans53c53.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2535848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…930fbacked Seahawks47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255156.9%29 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Titans28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ff…40b4backed Titans51c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.071145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3914…2103backed Seahawks49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Seahawks51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018843.1%81 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006b…daa6backed Seahawks49c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…fba2backed Seahawks49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked Seahawks68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a45…36dcbacked Seahawks48c29.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143941%16 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Seahawks50c22.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.116551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Seahawks51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9880…82d6backed Seahawks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Seahawks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.