TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c20,473$11,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,860.852,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No52c13,146$6,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,310.246363.5%40 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c12,799$6,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,988.11,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c11,151$5,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,301.123435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes47c6,197$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.6327133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c6,192$4,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.768,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No53c4,153$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.8719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes9c3,657$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.992733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa9…1351backed Yes11c2,732$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes38c2,170$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.191520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Yes45c1,661$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.451471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c75…6a36backed Yes47c1,052$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes20c998$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.613828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes52c982.99$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.1681651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Yes17c898.48$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.024052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…5120backed Yes13c891.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes7c800$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545721.1%12 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes14c758$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1236727%99 W · 268 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes15c757.22$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.096142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes10c706.4$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6896…3682backed Yes15c697.56$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No53c694.17$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.264551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fc…d087backed Yes15c642.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Yes46c484.72$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes7c423.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes15c407$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9432936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No56c387.61$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.631,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes21c362.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+93.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d57…9569backed Yes7c358.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes13c353.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.63145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes15c339.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…4da1backed Yes9c327.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes6c323.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Yes10c311.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick18cpaid+197.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x686f…a0b3backed Yes7c299.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed No54c296.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes14c292.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.661,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Yes7c280$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes47c261.09$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7112331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No52c249.72$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5626659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.777332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes47c210.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.141127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes50c202$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcae…3e14backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2baa…e6dbbacked No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes12c199.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.713234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No69c191.86$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.673268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes14c169$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5918129.8%54 W · 127 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…d70abacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…e9e5backed No79c162.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes47c158.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.892420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c155.37$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.665,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes34c148.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8054…150cbacked Yes18c146.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe176…9d7cbacked Yes14c143.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Yes47c137.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes48c135.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2318433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503060%18 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…cf43backed Yes24c130$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x530d…9b59backed Yes15c128.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d8…2b8dbacked Yes17c127.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No71c127.69$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9811738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec0…067bbacked Yes48c127.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fab…01e9backed Yes37c124.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes50c121.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9813228%37 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes46c121$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.255935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…017cbacked Yes14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7158…c23abacked Yes16c115.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e28…3e73backed No54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No45c108.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.668046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No53c101.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x831d…e1babacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151625%4 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes36c95.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.973240.6%13 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No53c95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.512045.8%55 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…1d96backed Yes15c93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes55c90.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509545.3%43 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes22c81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No59c77.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.624100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+189.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbea…57b8backed Yes24c74.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked No54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed No51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No74c59.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.716056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f3…5892backed Yes50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…dd88backed Yes52c57.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bb…0df6backed Yes47c52.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No56c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.352748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No55c48.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.987352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.