South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Juventude vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f434ebffd15d953b8a8738eb7b9b407f3eee29671e932d72450cee241840ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 5,234$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 34c | 4,279$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.28 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 77c | 2,740$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 2,194$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 1,334$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.74 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 28c | 1,309$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.81 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,190$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 32c | 1,174$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,100$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.86 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…446fbacked Yes | 72c | 789.81$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 55c | 770$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Yes | 24c | 739.22$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 19c | 651.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Yes | 24c | 614.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 555.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.16 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 25c | 536.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 61c | 500$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 27c | 425.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.78 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 370.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 277.26$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…99dabacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 22c | 271.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 250.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Yes | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 31c | 233.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes | 70c | 213.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 60c | 209$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 76c | 173.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed No | 77c | 169.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 70c | 137$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…81ebbacked No | 72c | 134.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 74c | 125.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 29c | 121$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 28c | 105.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked No | 38c | 92.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 68c | 89.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 24c | 73.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 71c | 66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 34c | 61.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 25c | 57.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Yes | 20c | 54.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +197.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96cd…34ebbacked Yes | 36c | 51.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7158…c23abacked Yes | 25c | 48.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 30c | 44.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…af4bbacked Yes | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6c…a93cbacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…005dbacked No | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…88aabacked Yes | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked No | 76c | 26.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 71c | 23.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 70c | 20.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 78c | 20.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Juventude vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-20?No won
- Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.