Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1791a6ca810326945120edf4e510da1ea5151e8c929b33c684c6dcd14bb65e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 7,516$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.32 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 6,561$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 71c | 5,975$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.67 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 2,537$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.31 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 1,890$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.3 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 1,494$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.29 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 1,369$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.68 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 871.43$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.63 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 776$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 512.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.39 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 438$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 26c | 326.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 48c | 290.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 41c | 268.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…06bcbacked Yes | 66c | 227.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 220$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 161$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 43c | 150.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed No | 75c | 133.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 72c | 121.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 58c | 120.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 91.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 59c | 81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 71c | 63.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 32c | 61.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked No | 43c | 56.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 70c | 55.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 74c | 54.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 30c | 50.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 45.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed Yes | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…7b63backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…a99abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.