Champions League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC vs. PSV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4fa233224ac50d3d8e98f129be2880af7690b20af8d4c63bc05c71ea06f7ca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6f6…742fbacked Yes | 13c | 11,538$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 4,816$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.19 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…85febacked Yes | 3c | 3,902$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,209$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.49 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 73c | 2,792$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.09 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04c…8720backed Yes | 14c | 1,900$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 22c | 1,382$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 1,321$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.44 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 14c | 999.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 781.98$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 24c | 624.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 29c | 558.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 503.78$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 19c | 416.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +158%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Yes | 34c | 382.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes | 13c | 329.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6063…489cbacked Yes | 6c | 309.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Yes | 19c | 308.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 284.13$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 19c | 268.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…bc8cbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Yes | 20c | 250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4743…9a63backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 23c | 246.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 34c | 238.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 22c | 224.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 18c | 217.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 14c | 212.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 18c | 170.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 79c | 157.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 26c | 152.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…3094backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 15c | 135.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…9a74backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…73b7backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…f957backed Yes | 26c | 97.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 66c | 97.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 13c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…616ebacked Yes | 19c | 85.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…1588backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC vs. PSV end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?No won
- Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.