Champions League · resolved market
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2326a863d7be2a5b6a321ef824ef1d36ce52876f86c23843b79d72ce6edb4c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,214$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 23c | 1,134$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 887.39$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 843.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 15c | 537.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 21c | 480.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 80c | 355$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 80c | 352.35$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 334.01$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 17c | 156.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 19c | 146.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 124.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 20c | 109.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 20c | 100.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…2a30backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 20c | 99.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 19c | 96.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 19c | 78.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1e40backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed No | 80c | 58.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 79c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…cad5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 46.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 77c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 79c | 16.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?this page
- Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-12-09?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.