TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes46c115,175$52,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,980.589450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No54c74,959$40,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,483.6317958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No54c50,832$27,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,382.8110357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,70031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Yes47c25,064$11,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,838.175349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No61c16,178$9,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,296.5635758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No51c15,364$7,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,528.346149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No54c11,578$6,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,341.4730851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No54c11,246$6,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,152.3310849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c10,179$5,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,727.636,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c6,794$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,198.041,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes21c6,282$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.341241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.8440046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No51c5,331$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.0331655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes49c5,029$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.2327235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No51c3,979$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.4711750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No53c2,600$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22237054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a7…5bddbacked Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa6…4979backed No53c1,888$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked Yes47c1,659$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No52c1,525$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.9832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No52c1,392$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.7390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c1,267$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.684,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No52c1,179$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.176450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No52c1,130$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.234254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…54d7backed Yes48c1,051$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No52c999.9$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.955160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes49c904.08$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44318740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes25c839$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5825339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No55c637.74$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7429458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2763240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08cd…ef8bbacked No52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c8…ac92backed Yes49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28240953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes47c543.47$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.433941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes47c524.98$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.746150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes45c509$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.054045%18 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8895…aa9cbacked Yes49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf329…91cabacked No52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf6c…2888backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No80c474$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.821548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Yes41c460.79$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.516737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8665…85ecbacked Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Yes48c412.5$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes17c412.44$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes47c388.52$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2211828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf8…e27cbacked Yes49c350.98$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No52c350.79$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9446651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No76c341.78$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes36c334.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes48c333.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes40c308.64$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7232822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ec…18f4backed Yes47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13813656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No58c294.78$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No55c281.15$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5221154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No73c280.38$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.581,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b48…58a6backed No80c250.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11514342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed No53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.422536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No53c223.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+58.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No51c199.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9926247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe876…7346backed Yes25c192$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes49c190.37$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512446%57 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9721…bb3dbacked Yes49c157.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3185…937abacked Yes27c153.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.54845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes38c141$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes49c126.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0112545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4e…ab3cbacked Yes48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…61d6backed Yes49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.