TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No38c30,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,749.8731947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes27c17,606$4,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,753.539450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c10,617$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,984.726,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70021154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No73c8,000$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Yes52c6,282$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.461866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes52c5,675$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.34454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes26c4,864$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.7210357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes5c3,151$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.546149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58028070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5805743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa6…4979backed No52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a7…5bddbacked Yes53c1,878$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No39c1,575$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.2151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes34c1,551$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No74c1,030$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6831655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a77…54d7backed No52c969.98$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No48c960$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.228736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes27c750$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes66c700.61$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.1435758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No34c700$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46211029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c657.43$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.794,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes25c576.29$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8111828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3d…ad08backed No50c539.71$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes25c505.36$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Yes70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12512652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20816737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc903…9f8fbacked Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…9982backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+109.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes26c353.85$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9224630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc732…097bbacked No76c315.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.79922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Yes25c288$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes28c278$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2511227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb48…1308backed No74c263.54$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d4…962dbacked No76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.164660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.415127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed No75c221.33$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.338763.2%55 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No66c213.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3326054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No47c212.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No74c199.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5226247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No74c193.3$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.329458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3111349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004727.7%13 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Yes26c178.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.413040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes74c144$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.564242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes7c143.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0832822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c141.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…2518backed Yes70c136.03$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.22850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c2e…5a33backed Yes27c125.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6514945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6515049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No43c120.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9319244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed89…647bbacked Yes26c119.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes26c102.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1126229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1dc…5460backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476729.9%20 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2744036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3185…937abacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.047656.6%43 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Yes26c88.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-64.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No74c82.94$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes63c79.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.13938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No75c79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d82…de02backed Yes73c70$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No72c62.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5317958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153033.3%10 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed No50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No30c54.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0827454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed1…e492backed No75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+80.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed No42c47.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9212342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b3…2beabacked No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bf…c574backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa614…70a4backed Yes53c37.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed No48c35.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.423548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Yes66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7231…8e0ebacked No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a0…63b2backed No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x493e…f994backed No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.329359.1%55 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.326250%31 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…94f9backed Yes63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No73c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6752060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…98c3backed No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed No73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+64.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.