Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6903a7bd20f6d204d5d7c76b2c53be1a6ac8458a5695aaf3ffc87336a4d2e26f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22f8…6748backed No | 73c | 10,255$7,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,486.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…a526backed Yes | 27c | 10,255$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,486.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 9,226$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.07 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 33c | 5,192$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.73 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 32c | 4,122$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.03 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 72c | 2,857$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 2,828$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.43 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 56c | 2,499$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.89 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,949$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.28 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 29c | 1,572$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.41 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…8de2backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 940.89$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.85 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 41c | 920.7$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 26c | 880.77$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.77 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 818.8$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.69 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 30c | 726.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 71c | 584.21$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.69 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 35c | 510$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 73c | 499.97$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 30c | 370$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 264$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.72 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed Yes | 31c | 187.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 29c | 172.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes | 27c | 115.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 17c | 111.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 100.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 27c | 55.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked No | 74c | 51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked Yes | 29c | 46.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…3499backed Yes | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…35debacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.