Fifa International · resolved market
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc19c26fe06dc7f41aac5a075554ef842d407ad924478234e98e6f3325c0c03e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 32c | 53,375$16,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,480.18 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 66c | 36,402$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 27,310$8,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,636.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400.31 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 33c | 12,748$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,495.14 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 70c | 5,277$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 6c | 4,665$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.74 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 9c | 4,010$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.62 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.9 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…85b2backed Yes | 69c | 3,995$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 31c | 3,269$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.13 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 69c | 2,783$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 28c | 2,370$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.39 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 67c | 2,241$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Yes | 72c | 2,022$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed No | 34c | 2,000$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.66 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…cbe9backed Yes | 72c | 1,752$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 72c | 1,733$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked No | 32c | 1,561$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 32c | 1,527$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 34c | 1,480$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 73c | 1,251$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.24 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 30c | 1,143$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.3 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 66c | 1,115$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.9 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed No | 33c | 1,115$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 73c | 1,100$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,033$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 68c | 951.83$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 31c | 856.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.1 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 16c | 833.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.62 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…a60abacked Yes | 69c | 823.05$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 26c | 811.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.52 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 32c | 785.7$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.78 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 69c | 737.12$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.61 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 70c | 717.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 27c | 699.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.99 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c8…f2efbacked Yes | 73c | 685.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79ebbacked No | 32c | 631.25$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 32c | 600.74$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.68 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 37c | 571.43$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…caecbacked Yes | 40c | 499$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…bb3dbacked Yes | 67c | 437.66$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 30c | 420.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.25 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 32c | 400$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 34c | 394.05$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 65c | 384.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Yes | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…4a70backed Yes | 69c | 350$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac8b…dd33backed Yes | 14c | 340$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6c58backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…d803backed Yes | 67c | 290.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Yes | 70c | 284.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 23c | 267.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 30c | 249.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 58c | 240.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 71c | 226.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…1b3fbacked Yes | 59c | 225.37$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…4bebbacked Yes | 64c | 216.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 25c | 214.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…6b4abacked Yes | 64c | 210.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 72c | 210.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 30c | 204.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 69c | 200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 69c | 193.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cb…6cdbbacked Yes | 67c | 190.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…735abacked Yes | 69c | 186.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…a48abacked Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 32c | 165.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…c165backed Yes | 23c | 154$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 149.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…0408backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 70c | 143.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 30c | 137.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…d4a4backed Yes | 75c | 132.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 27c | 121.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…7534backed Yes | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7846…3a40backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14?this page
- Will Japan vs. Brazil end in a draw?No won
- Will Japan win on 2025-10-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.