NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b22d44cfdcf2a785f149347af3d7bf6bca8c7431583ba2149e11f07d1c327d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Lions, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $406,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lions | 55c | 102,543$56,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,319.65 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Packers | 45c | 78,798$35,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,423.99 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Packers | 45c | 57,630$25,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,696.7 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Packers | 47c | 55,811$26,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,644.36 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Lions | 55c | 55,555$30,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,555.25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Packers | 45c | 45,000$20,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,749.99 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 55c | 24,519$13,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,576.32 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lions | 48c | 22,317$10,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,758.43 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Lions | 55c | 17,405$9,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,572.54 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Packers | 46c | 11,613$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.02 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…97f2backed Packers | 46c | 10,864$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lions | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Lions | 55c | 10,000$5,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,537.07 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Packers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lions | 56c | 8,225$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Packers | 53c | 6,210$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.26 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Packers | 51c | 5,929$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.83 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 45c | 5,746$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.05 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lions | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 45c | 5,376$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.92 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…286fbacked Lions | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Lions | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Packers | 45c | 4,851$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.65 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Packers | 44c | 4,458$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.15 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…cc5ebacked Lions | 54c | 3,950$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Lions | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c82…f9e8backed Packers | 46c | 3,370$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Packers | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lions | 53c | 3,191$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.49 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Packers | 44c | 2,857$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…25ffbacked Lions | 55c | 2,476$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…39edbacked Packers | 46c | 2,381$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Packers | 45c | 2,230$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.5 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…230bbacked Packers | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers | 45c | 2,084$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.2 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lions | 55c | 2,075$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.25 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Lions | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…fedbbacked Packers | 46c | 1,850$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Lions | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Lions | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49a4…c720backed Lions | 56c | 1,770$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Packers | 45c | 1,504$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.7 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Packers | 39c | 1,481$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.59 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Lions | 56c | 1,479$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Packers | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Lions | 56c | 1,389$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.64 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lions | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Lions | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Lions | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Packers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Packers | 46c | 1,004$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.35 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Packers | 49c | 931.32$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.32 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Lions | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Lions | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lions | 46c | 837.53$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.09 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Packers | 57c | 834.93$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.04 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Lions | 55c | 820$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Lions | 44c | 808.62$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Packers | 43c | 776.55$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.63 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…34e7backed Lions | 54c | 718$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Packers | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Lions | 55c | 694.81$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.15 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Packers | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Lions | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Lions | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Packers | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Lions | 53c | 563.83$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.83 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Lions | 54c | 559$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Lions | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Lions | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Packers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Lions | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Lions | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Lions | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Packers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Packers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Lions | 55c | 424.11$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.26 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Packers | 45c | 416.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.24 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Lions | 56c | 414.29$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Lions | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Packers | 44c | 394$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Packers | 61c | 393.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Packers | 47c | 389.39$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Packers | 47c | 369.65$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.91 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Lions | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…4e85backed Packers | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf99…639dbacked Lions | 55c | 340$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Packers | 46c | 333.39$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.03 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Lions | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Lions | 51c | 298.64$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lions | 52c | 289.72$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…308bbacked Lions | 54c | 281.48$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lions | 42c | 279.81$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions | 54c | 230.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…d69ebacked Lions | 55c | 227$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Lions | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Lions | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Packers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Lions | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Lions | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)this page
- Packers vs. LionsPackers won
- Packers vs. Lions: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Lions: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 48.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 53.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 54.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 64.5Under won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 65.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Packers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.