NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Lions: O/U 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4355816a33fe394919ff2145673d2e31baf26c26cb3a88afa46b467a43cbd641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 110,217$52,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,158.33 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 52c | 81,000$42,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,433.71 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 49,476$23,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,492.84 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 48c | 42,440$20,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,915.04 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 53c | 41,114$21,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,608.13 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 52c | 38,364$19,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,865.64 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Under | 51c | 35,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 51c | 32,861$16,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,779.71 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 53c | 19,500$10,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,335 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Over | 49c | 19,388$9,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,794.64 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 50c | 13,974$7,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,007.74 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 12,117$5,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,364.89 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Under | 51c | 11,097$5,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.31 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 53c | 10,377$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 48c | 10,339$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.65 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 48c | 7,240$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.85 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 47c | 6,666$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.98 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 47c | 6,363$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 6,296$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.43 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f422backed Under | 53c | 5,350$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 25c | 5,170$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.09 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 75c | 4,913$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.28 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 25c | 4,794$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.13 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Over | 52c | 3,638$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.46 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.49 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 3,323$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.77 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 3,210$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.86 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 2,569$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.88 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 52c | 2,153$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.95 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 48c | 1,899$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.54 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Over | 47c | 1,888$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Under | 70c | 1,867$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 21c | 1,601$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.15 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 50c | 1,198$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…6904backed Over | 49c | 1,084$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…3b40backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 56c | 887.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Under | 49c | 854.22$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.57 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…aa64backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Under | 52c | 650$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 28c | 608$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.64 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Under | 53c | 575.47$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 48c | 572$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 490.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.58 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Under | 51c | 469.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.69 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…08c0backed Over | 48c | 460$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…db8bbacked Under | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked Under | 40c | 445.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 52c | 416.66$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…9ce4backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Over | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…9f66backed Under | 53c | 360$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b8…6631backed Under | 51c | 260$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…9f6fbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 48c | 215$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 46c | 207.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Under | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…b4b0backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…73f3backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…6851backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 46c | 188.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…1f55backed Under | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 49c | 161.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 48.5this page
- Packers vs. LionsPackers won
- Packers vs. Lions: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Lions: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 53.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 54.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 64.5Under won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 65.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)Packers won
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Packers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.