MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ddc2992284758532a57ce9d3c9c8ddcf5dc68d51b6b5320c11058bbc24e97f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,250,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,301,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,250,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked Mariners | 53c | 1,271,047$673,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673,655.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 1,000,000$470,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Mariners | 54c | 508,433$274,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274,553.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 47c | 212,141$99,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,434.86 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 48c | 162,453$77,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,281.88 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Mariners | 57c | 136,284$77,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,749.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Blue Jays | 46c | 109,000$50,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,860 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners | 49c | 100,000$49,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,499.87 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Blue Jays | 46c | 98,304$44,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,317.02 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mariners | 7c | 94,368$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,629.8 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 91,365$39,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,651.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 51c | 87,016$43,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,018.97 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 46c | 68,809$31,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,105.93 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mariners | 54c | 51,137$27,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,613.82 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Blue Jays | 46c | 50,748$23,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,403.75 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Mariners | 53c | 50,000$26,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,516.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Mariners | 55c | 39,892$22,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,007.11 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 35,899$16,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,394.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 49c | 32,755$16,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,699.89 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Blue Jays | 52c | 32,101$16,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,332.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mariners | 48c | 26,104$12,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,502.58 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners | 0c | 21,907$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 21,239$8,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,927.4 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Mariners | 54c | 20,112$10,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,860.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Blue Jays | 46c | 20,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,900 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Blue Jays | 47c | 19,856$9,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,523.76 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 47c | 19,600$9,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,364 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Blue Jays | 65c | 18,331$11,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,496.75 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Mariners | 13c | 17,997$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.52 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 70c | 15,672$11,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Mariners | 25c | 15,137$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.06 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Mariners | 55c | 14,683$8,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,075.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 53c | 14,325$7,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,592.25 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mariners | 22c | 13,275$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.98 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 12,519$5,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,781.05 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jays | 67c | 10,866$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.68 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 12c | 10,849$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.92 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blue Jays | 45c | 8,889$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.89 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Blue Jays | 46c | 8,238$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Mariners | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.95 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Blue Jays | 75c | 7,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Blue Jays | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 6,015$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.16 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 1c | 5,906$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Blue Jays | 46c | 5,668$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.9 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 22c | 5,620$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.1 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 5,478$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 54c | 5,210$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.39 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mariners | 53c | 4,911$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.95 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Blue Jays | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Mariners | 54c | 4,244$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mariners | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays | 78c | 3,945$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.61 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 32c | 3,840$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.08 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Blue Jays | 42c | 3,541$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.71 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…7484backed Blue Jays | 44c | 3,420$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…4318backed Blue Jays | 44c | 3,410$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 70c | 3,267$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Mariners | 17c | 3,255$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…0c0ebacked Mariners | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…882bbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 3,183$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 3c | 3,066$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…86fdbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Mariners | 2c | 2,937$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5112…fe58backed Mariners | 56c | 2,857$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Mariners | 10c | 2,799$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Blue Jays | 78c | 2,679$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…ca41backed Mariners | 56c | 2,678$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1e…e67bbacked Mariners | 56c | 2,678$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 2,666$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.38 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 52c | 2,612$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.99 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Mariners | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Mariners | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,500$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 2,450$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.31 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Mariners | 63c | 2,432$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.31 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 2,332$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.62 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Mariners | 55c | 2,300$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mariners | 1c | 2,210$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,186$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mariners | 1c | 2,151$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…a91fbacked Mariners | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Mariners | 31c | 1,980$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.4 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 1,979$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.34 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.52 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Mariners | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…7d62backed Mariners | 56c | 1,788$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mariners | 46c | 1,754$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,727$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.51 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,723$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed Mariners | 30c | 1,616$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.