Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5c11fc97fda3dc4a3202e58e4f59898a66557074220a52f69b8153a914041f2

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Daniil Medvedevof Daniel Merida Aguilar, Daniil Medvedev
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $264,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $277,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,772 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf9d6…910dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	1c	16,840$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.2	97	40.2%39 W · 58 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	24c	13,264$3,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,183.38	421	31.6%133 W · 288 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	5c	12,128$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.39	1,683	50.6%851 W · 832 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	15c	8,500$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245	1,437	28.5%409 W · 1,028 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	7,634$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.04	1,404	42.8%601 W · 803 L	-31.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	10c	7,605$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.56	11,666	43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L	+22.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	5c	6,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5,325	28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L	-21.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	6c	6,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	168	25%42 W · 126 L	-14.2wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	8c	5,450$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.99	130	29.2%38 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	9c	4,555$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.59	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+12.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	24c	4,080$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974	1,277	56.6%723 W · 554 L	-19.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	5c	4,011$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.95	3,726	42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L	-48.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	20c	2,928$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.69	315	40.6%128 W · 187 L	-12.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfc7…2a87backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	20c	2,792$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.13	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Daniil Medvedev	80c	2,547$2,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.49	132	53%70 W · 62 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e32…31fdbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	14c	2,183$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.68	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	2,135$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	412	51%210 W · 202 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	6c	2,028$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.96	389	11.6%45 W · 344 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d0…0c35backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	13c	2,009$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	12c	1,971$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.46	223	38.6%86 W · 137 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	5c	1,652$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.85	3,319	48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L	-52.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Daniil Medvedev	79c	1,630$1,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.6	2,061	48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L	+35.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	1,579$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	380	33.9%129 W · 251 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	13c	1,553$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.31	2,839	47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L	+38.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	1,402$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.35	386	52.3%202 W · 184 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	15c	1,335$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59fc…5054backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	13c	1,298$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.82	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-5.0wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Daniil Medvedev	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.37	949	68.1%646 W · 303 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	17c	1,229$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.88	460	30.4%140 W · 320 L	-18.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	13c	1,199$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.87	910	50.2%457 W · 453 L	-20.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	23c	1,092$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	484	40.3%195 W · 289 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	280	32.5%91 W · 189 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Daniil Medvedev	79c	1,048$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.65	1,632	52.7%860 W · 772 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	609	43.3%264 W · 345 L	-24.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ae…85ccbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	5c	999.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	6c	963.5$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.81	482	14.1%68 W · 414 L	-14.8wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	954.63$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.38	184	43.5%80 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	12c	946$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.52	597	21.8%130 W · 467 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	16c	925.38$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.06	1,579	39.8%629 W · 950 L	-34.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a5…41f1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	21c	920.24$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.25	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e4…68bebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	21c	892.38$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.4	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db8…0ed7backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	7c	859.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.18	96	49%47 W · 49 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	13c	807.58$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.22	2,069	46.7%966 W · 1,103 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	13c	746.02$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.86	1,824	46.5%849 W · 975 L	+20.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	9c	724.42$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	8,702	42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L	-165.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	22c	679.82$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa943…bcbebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	6c	612$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	8c	581.04$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.34	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	568.42$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+4.6wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17eb…8db2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	6c	566.67$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54e1…c2c7backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	35cpaid	-78%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed Daniil Medvedev	80c	468.79$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.76	172	57%98 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	8c	465.82$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.27	650	40%260 W · 390 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	22c	382.36$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.12	319	41.4%132 W · 187 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	368.42$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	261	34.1%89 W · 172 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	6c	334$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	2,528	36.2%914 W · 1,614 L	-26.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	5c	330$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	1,882	35.5%669 W · 1,213 L	+26.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x540e…263dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	11c	328.82$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.17	99	24.2%24 W · 75 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	12c	316.67$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	194	10.3%20 W · 174 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	346	37.9%131 W · 215 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	6c	307.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	5,009	41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L	-82.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78b1…7d20backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	5c	306.77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-38%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	20c	282.28$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.35	105	40%42 W · 63 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd58e…bf44backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	16c	262.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	21c	261.9$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	929	53.5%497 W · 432 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	257.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	149	47%70 W · 79 L	+10.6wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…6b15backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	248.47$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	17c	246.47$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.9	546	34.4%188 W · 358 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	9c	241.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	1,062	42%446 W · 616 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b1…934ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	13c	229.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	486	37.7%183 W · 303 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	24c	220.83$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	255	44.3%113 W · 142 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	372	33.9%126 W · 246 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2,275	42.7%972 W · 1,303 L	+33.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	10c	197.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	436	47.2%206 W · 230 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	18c	173.15$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.87	923	52.5%485 W · 438 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	6c	170$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	496	32.3%160 W · 336 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	18c	163.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.47	2,089	52.2%1,090 W · 999 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	15c	160.51$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	1,179	52.8%623 W · 556 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	22c	139.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Daniil Medvedev	78c	135.9$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.9	548	44.5%244 W · 304 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x738e…1f9abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	14c	135.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bca…05d8backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	131.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Daniil Medvedev	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	656	52.1%342 W · 314 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…53c3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	20c	125.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	128	49.2%63 W · 65 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3b…8f52backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	17c	122.1$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	1,772	52.1%923 W · 849 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	281	47.3%133 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	15c	106.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	168	33.9%57 W · 111 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	17c	104.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.32	269	21.2%57 W · 212 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	20c	101.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.32	331	52.6%174 W · 157 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	13c	100.77$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	739	51.7%382 W · 357 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar	16c	92.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	133	34.6%46 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x721c…d585backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	17c	83.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	131	57.3%75 W · 56 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	1,730	52.2%903 W · 827 L	-8.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	14c	77.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	225	44.4%100 W · 125 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	19c	77.51$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	436	18.3%80 W · 356 L	-21.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar	17c	75.76$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.68	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedevthis page
Set 1 Winner: Aguilar vs MedvedevAguilar won
Set 2 Winner: Aguilar vs MedvedevMedvedev won
Set 3 Winner: Aguilar vs MedvedevMedvedev won
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-2.5) vs Aguilar (+2.5)Aguilar won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event