Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e5a51160999d5592141ecffa91b0b8e4dfdcdbcf3748582a31e5ebc7ce928bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Medvedevof Daniil Medvedev, Alex Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $481,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,228 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 28,540$21,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,825.69 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alex Michelsen | 10c | 27,136$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.23 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alex Michelsen | 18c | 23,888$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.01 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Alex Michelsen | 23c | 21,642$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.84 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alex Michelsen | 22c | 20,759$4,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.93 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 15,198$11,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.5 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 13,000$10,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…a675backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 12,864$9,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 12,749$9,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.36 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Alex Michelsen | 21c | 12,433$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.67 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Alex Michelsen | 17c | 8,643$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.43 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 7,861$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Alex Michelsen | 23c | 6,783$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Alex Michelsen | 25c | 6,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Alex Michelsen | 23c | 6,093$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.36 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alex Michelsen | 1c | 5,158$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Alex Michelsen | 24c | 5,078$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.88 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Alex Michelsen | 23c | 4,300$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Alex Michelsen | 24c | 4,173$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.03 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 3,939$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.24 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Alex Michelsen | 3c | 3,772$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex Michelsen | 23c | 3,762$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.62 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alex Michelsen | 6c | 3,683$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Alex Michelsen | 5c | 3,420$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.31 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 3,201$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.28 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Alex Michelsen | 24c | 3,047$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.36 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Alex Michelsen | 23c | 2,800$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.5 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Alex Michelsen | 24c | 2,724$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.61 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Alex Michelsen | 4c | 2,651$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 2,600$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.99 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 2,589$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.14 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Alex Michelsen | 15c | 2,577$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.81 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Alex Michelsen | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 2,017$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.59 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…c11dbacked Alex Michelsen | 25c | 2,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.17 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Michelsen | 22c | 1,985$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.79 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Alex Michelsen | 1c | 1,701$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…0397backed Alex Michelsen | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 1,657$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.43 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 1,431$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.53 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 1,347$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.67 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alex Michelsen | 25c | 1,318$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.58 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 1,307$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.63 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…f420backed Alex Michelsen | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 1,300$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Daniil Medvedev | 78c | 1,283$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.31 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Alex Michelsen | 23c | 1,206$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.31 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Alex Michelsen | 16c | 1,200$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Michelsen | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Alex Michelsen | 24c | 1,121$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked Alex Michelsen | 24c | 1,067$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Alex Michelsen | 22c | 1,026$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 1,019$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 1,009$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.09 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Alex Michelsen | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Alex Michelsen | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Alex Michelsen | 7c | 998.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 986.84$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alex Michelsen | 21c | 969$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.02 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Alex Michelsen | 23c | 957.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.25 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Alex Michelsen | 3c | 900.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…595fbacked Alex Michelsen | 24c | 849.71$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Alex Michelsen | 21c | 759.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…3176backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 751.95$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Michelsen | 10c | 734.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked Daniil Medvedev | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Alex Michelsen | 24c | 673.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Alex Michelsen | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -9.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 531.78$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 522$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 520$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Alex Michelsen | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Alex Michelsen | 23c | 499.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Alex Michelsen | 4c | 453.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Alex Michelsen | 23c | 434.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Alex Michelsen | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…4d17backed Alex Michelsen | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Alex Michelsen | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 397.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 397.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 397.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 397.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 397.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 397.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…61cebacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 394.94$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Alex Michelsen | 14c | 361.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Michelsen | 10c | 350.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Alex Michelsen | 24c | 345$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 341.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Alex Michelsen | 19c | 339.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 320.05$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Medvedev vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs MichelsenMedvedev won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.