TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Jannik Sinner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jannik Sinnerof Learner Tien, Jannik Sinner
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$919,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $919,945 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Learner Tien1c74,931$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.9723731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Learner Tien8c45,945$3,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,505.0810440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Learner Tien3c34,418$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.012,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Learner Tien2c27,974$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.618,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Learner Tien10c26,584$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.77146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Learner Tien3c21,781$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.161,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Learner Tien3c17,075$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.517,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Learner Tien2c12,796$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3622634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Learner Tien3c11,973$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.1580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Learner Tien10c11,219$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.4114243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Learner Tien9c10,031$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.158348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Learner Tien0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-54.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…92cdbacked Learner Tien0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed Learner Tien10c10,000$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9981540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Learner Tien4c6,872$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.886,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Learner Tien3c5,974$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.761,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Learner Tien10c5,909$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.8720653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Learner Tien10c5,050$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Learner Tien10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9225340.3%102 W · 151 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Learner Tien9c4,888$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.881,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Learner Tien2c3,939$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5946544.3%206 W · 259 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Learner Tien9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27019835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Learner Tien6c2,991$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.063,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Learner Tien7c2,268$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.932,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Learner Tien10c2,001$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.69134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Learner Tien8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f50…8341backed Learner Tien4c1,900$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Learner Tien9c1,683$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5824634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Learner Tien10c1,533$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2942839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Learner Tien7c1,489$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12bb…f420backed Learner Tien11c1,409$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Learner Tien7c1,251$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.342,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Learner Tien7c1,201$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8667836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed Learner Tien9c1,140$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.62740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Learner Tien2c1,071$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.652,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Learner Tien10c1,029$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10246030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Learner Tien10c1,021$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0342042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Learner Tien10c1,005$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Learner Tien10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Learner Tien10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Learner Tien9c995.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.25048%24 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c26…d3d0backed Learner Tien3c812.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Learner Tien9c777.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Learner Tien4c768.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.87,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Learner Tien8c736.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.911,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Learner Tien8c700$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Learner Tien9c622.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.014351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Learner Tien3c580.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.272,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…600fbacked Learner Tien5c542.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.143751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Learner Tien3c528.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.273417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52dc…543bbacked Learner Tien10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Learner Tien9c499.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked Learner Tien10c480$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811426.3%30 W · 84 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Learner Tien3c471.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1584736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa904…6f1dbacked Learner Tien11c457.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Learner Tien10c455.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Learner Tien10c443.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.931,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4f…77e9backed Learner Tien10c405.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.143231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8cc…2c44backed Learner Tien10c404.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Learner Tien7c400$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1575.3%3 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Learner Tien7c387.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2925043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Learner Tien4c344.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Learner Tien8c344$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.521,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Learner Tien9c338.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.18922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93b1…934ebacked Learner Tien15c336.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca75…725fbacked Learner Tien10c333.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4096…ad4dbacked Learner Tien6c326.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-54.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Learner Tien10c318.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5888446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Learner Tien9c310$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.91,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Learner Tien10c303.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Learner Tien6c299.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1713444%59 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Learner Tien11c294.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4817746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9faf…856dbacked Learner Tien9c254.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.872360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Learner Tien10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518053.9%97 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Learner Tien4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Learner Tien9c243.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.321,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…319bbacked Learner Tien10c221.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.133839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Learner Tien9c208$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.725,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Learner Tien10c202.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Learner Tien10c202.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Learner Tien10c202.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Learner Tien5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048440.3%195 W · 289 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc679…e427backed Learner Tien10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7721…e537backed Learner Tien11c180$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83161.3%19 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+475.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Learner Tien10c156.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.631717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Learner Tien10c144$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Learner Tien10c142.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-63.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Learner Tien11c126.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked Learner Tien10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf64d…58d2backed Learner Tien12c102.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick24cpaid+30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Learner Tien10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Learner Tien10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ba…9b06backed Learner Tien10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103560%21 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Learner Tien10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1037351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed Learner Tien10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.