South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b90dc848e4ae975e0c51f576a7e97cba1182cef4e7d0c8c1980f374269f0c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 41c | 19,894$8,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,156.74 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 5,251$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 27c | 2,967$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.13 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 55c | 2,889$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.84 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 2,349$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.36 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 8c | 1,635$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.57 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 12c | 1,050$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 734.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.3 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 8c | 698.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 56c | 622.77$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.77 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Yes | 79c | 621.35$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 519.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 7c | 414$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 74c | 376.57$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 60c | 351.68$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 55c | 313.95$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 58c | 283.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 5c | 261.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 74c | 256.8$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…7d3cbacked Yes | 79c | 234.27$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 184.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 60c | 167.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 147$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 59c | 138.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +123%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 43c | 115.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 40c | 110.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 41c | 110.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 42c | 104.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 18c | 96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…327dbacked Yes | 59c | 93.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…09b7backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 56c | 88.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 60c | 86.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…2ba7backed Yes | 80c | 81.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 60c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…7af0backed Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…01e9backed Yes | 80c | 54.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 42c | 48.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 42c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…0897backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…208cbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…d34bbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…e621backed Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-24?this page
- Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-24?No won
- Will Mirassol FC vs. Ceará SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.