Euroleague · resolved market
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1da0619107b9a089afcc86869bfcf85e5a761cc3c5277fc09d2118a54e095a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Olympiacos B.C., Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Paris Basketball | 12c | 11,669$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball | 12c | 5,114$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.08 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…1224backed Paris Basketball | 20c | 1,474$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paris Basketball | 18c | 1,274$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paris Basketball | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 779.61$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 595$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Paris Basketball | 14c | 536$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Paris Basketball | 25c | 352.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 249.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paris Basketball | 21c | 181$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Paris Basketball | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Paris Basketball | 15c | 174$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Paris Basketball | 20c | 149.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Olympiacos B.C. | 75c | 148$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…8592backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 138.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Paris Basketball | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Paris Basketball | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Paris Basketball | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Paris Basketball | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 91.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Paris Basketball | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 50.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 40.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3023backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.