South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5237c3d2991468e7f1be176d9396ceb5b003735bf2833f256987c9aa37eb057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 25c | 14,990$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 11,028$8,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 27c | 10,877$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 74c | 3,378$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 26c | 3,072$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.25 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 2,139$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 8c | 2,041$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 1,620$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.48 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 16c | 1,592$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.85 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 75c | 1,561$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.67 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 75c | 1,381$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 72c | 770.78$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.61 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…25e2backed Yes | 77c | 750.08$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 21c | 643.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 6c | 604$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 25c | 591.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Yes | 75c | 497.83$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 3c | 454$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 76c | 425$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 74c | 399.72$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 80c | 326.48$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 13c | 244.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 74c | 189.87$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 25c | 161.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 76c | 160.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 149.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 75c | 133.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 26c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 24c | 83.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 75c | 79.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 25c | 76.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 73c | 72.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…e2d5backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 25c | 47.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 27c | 41.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 74c | 39.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…1d4abacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 75c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…7634backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…6d58backed Yes | 76c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…2335backed Yes | 75c | 14.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-28?this page
- Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-28?No won
- Will Santos FC vs. SC Recife end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.