Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. FC Bayern Munchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f02d627598e7d678259edc3d847b751280ca557d8c3fa39d8e03d3ab6bed0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anadolu Efesof Anadolu Efes, FC Bayern Munchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 3,495$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.48 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anadolu Efes | 70c | 2,659$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.9 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Bayern Munchen | 8c | 1,932$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.94 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb560…60d6backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 980.35$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 66c | 957.82$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.66 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 22c | 747$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 721.21$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed FC Bayern Munchen | 24c | 557.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed FC Bayern Munchen | 27c | 398.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed FC Bayern Munchen | 29c | 375$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 34c | 236.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Anadolu Efes | 64c | 207.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 183$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Anadolu Efes | 76c | 180$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed FC Bayern Munchen | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed FC Bayern Munchen | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 24c | 102.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Anadolu Efes | 67c | 74.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Anadolu Efes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Anadolu Efes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Anadolu Efes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Anadolu Efes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee5…53c4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 30.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Anadolu Efes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Anadolu Efes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Anadolu Efes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Anadolu Efes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.