Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. Olimpia Milano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x071f07e25912652345f773939b5de9b2fb2888f459afe29d8e23fa3a85660fd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Anadolu Efes, Olimpia Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Olimpia Milano | 34c | 665.9$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.27 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 664.2$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.96 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 624$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Olimpia Milano | 34c | 470.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.97 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Anadolu Efes | 4c | 376.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…01d6backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 319.61$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Olimpia Milano | 34c | 268.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Anadolu Efes | 59c | 268$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…714cbacked Anadolu Efes | 66c | 214.55$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Olimpia Milano | 32c | 200$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…9c16backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 190.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Olimpia Milano | 36c | 186.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 36c | 163.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Anadolu Efes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olimpia Milano | 32c | 117.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…9f53backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 67.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Anadolu Efes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Anadolu Efes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…cf47backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 50.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Anadolu Efes | 42c | 50.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Olimpia Milano | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Anadolu Efes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Anadolu Efes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olimpia Milano | 36c | 35.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Anadolu Efes | 54c | 35.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Anadolu Efes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…3d9abacked Anadolu Efes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.