College Football · resolved market
New Mexico vs. Air Force
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19874ba4fa0cbf8ac2f4a40fabdcbc5d7ec646f51803ae4dc18d38af35dc8c32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexicoof New Mexico, Air Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New Mexico | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.94 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Air Force | 40c | 20,267$8,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,106.92 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Air Force | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150.01 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed New Mexico | 59c | 11,088$6,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,546.23 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Air Force | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked New Mexico | 60c | 4,592$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.51 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico | 59c | 4,421$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.79 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Air Force | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New Mexico | 59c | 2,903$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.23 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Air Force | 41c | 2,670$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.7 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Air Force | 40c | 2,238$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.04 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Air Force | 41c | 1,909$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Air Force | 26c | 1,866$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Air Force | 40c | 1,347$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Air Force | 2c | 1,126$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Air Force | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…11f6backed New Mexico | 59c | 970$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…56abbacked Air Force | 41c | 969.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Air Force | 41c | 960.82$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.94 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked New Mexico | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Air Force | 5c | 667.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed New Mexico | 59c | 567.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Air Force | 40c | 563.67$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.77 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Air Force | 40c | 555$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed New Mexico | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed New Mexico | 59c | 399.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Air Force | 41c | 367.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Mexico | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Air Force | 40c | 260.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Air Force | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New Mexico | 59c | 208.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed New Mexico | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Air Force | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked New Mexico | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Air Force | 40c | 174.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed New Mexico | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 26 | 92.3%24 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Air Force | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8770…ac25backed Air Force | 41c | 155.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Air Force | 40c | 148.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Air Force | 14c | 140.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed New Mexico | 60c | 138.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked New Mexico | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico | 59c | 127$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Air Force | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked New Mexico | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90d3…4d6bbacked New Mexico | 60c | 102.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Air Force | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked New Mexico | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Air Force | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed New Mexico | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Air Force | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…b948backed Air Force | 41c | 94.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…c01abacked New Mexico | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed New Mexico | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…5d4abacked New Mexico | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Air Force | 41c | 73.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67c6…7cc5backed New Mexico | 60c | 72.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked New Mexico | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…f3d0backed Air Force | 40c | 59.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Air Force | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…5bb9backed Air Force | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Air Force | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…ef71backed Air Force | 40c | 47.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f2…b76abacked New Mexico | 61c | 47.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbd…57f8backed Air Force | 40c | 45.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…7f74backed New Mexico | 61c | 45.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf251…4338backed New Mexico | 62c | 44.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…f959backed New Mexico | 62c | 44.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb2…6450backed Air Force | 40c | 43.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb0…dfb0backed Air Force | 40c | 43.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…529fbacked New Mexico | 60c | 43.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…9743backed Air Force | 41c | 43.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5793…ed2ebacked Air Force | 40c | 40.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…110fbacked New Mexico | 61c | 40.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…d04cbacked New Mexico | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…2247backed New Mexico | 61c | 38.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf042…081bbacked New Mexico | 60c | 38.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…e468backed Air Force | 41c | 38.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…b578backed New Mexico | 61c | 38.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…a822backed Air Force | 40c | 37.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked New Mexico | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…58f4backed New Mexico | 61c | 35.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…89a4backed Air Force | 40c | 35.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked New Mexico | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked New Mexico | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed New Mexico | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed New Mexico | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked New Mexico | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked New Mexico | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed New Mexico | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed New Mexico | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed New Mexico | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed New Mexico | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked New Mexico | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…31c7backed New Mexico | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2a…eb70backed New Mexico | 61c | 32.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7476…ae94backed Air Force | 41c | 32.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked New Mexico | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bce…88fcbacked New Mexico | 61c | 30.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212f…752ebacked New Mexico | 62c | 30.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico vs. Air Forcethis page
- New Mexico vs. Air Force: O/U 53.5Under won
- New Mexico vs. Air Force: O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: New Mexico (-3.5)New Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.