TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67c6…7cc5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST2560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.3
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.54
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$26.7
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$18.06
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.78
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.32
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$7.65
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Starsbacked Kenny's Young Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.73
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+25%+$3
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+316.7%+$40.54
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8.47
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.28
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+150%+$24
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.78
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.84
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.82
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.6
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.16
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.37
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+156.4%+$26.59
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+150%+$25.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$22.32
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.26
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$11.08
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.03
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.81
Oilers vs. Flyersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.25
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Utah vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.53
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.73
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.5
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.22
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.26
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.42
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+194.5%+$30.39
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.53
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+175.8%+$32.4
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+117.4%+$20.37
Canucks vs. Capitalsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$18.73
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+89.5%+$10.96
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$18.25
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$15.23
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+92.3%+$14.23
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico vs. Air Forcebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$29.05
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26.56
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+117.4%+$16.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+92.3%+$17.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.