NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17f33842f01e7f631e3b31a250d5fbfbaee9ac768dd95ee5a09efb76fefcc790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20a5…c8d4backed Utah | 50c | 5,894$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed Flyers | 50c | 5,894$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Utah | 47c | 2,274$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.16 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Utah | 49c | 2,053$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.84 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Flyers | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Flyers | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Utah | 50c | 1,473$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Flyers | 56c | 1,072$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.19 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flyers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Flyers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 5c | 421.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…44c6backed Flyers | 53c | 291.04$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Utah | 47c | 245.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Flyers | 50c | 233$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…7c74backed Flyers | 50c | 202.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…6d89backed Utah | 50c | 202.46$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…b048backed Utah | 50c | 199.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ab…c6afbacked Flyers | 50c | 199.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3b72backed Utah | 50c | 198.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…a2a7backed Flyers | 50c | 198.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb645…4845backed Utah | 50c | 197.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…1e5dbacked Flyers | 50c | 197.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Utah | 79c | 189.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Utah | 47c | 151.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Utah | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Flyers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Utah | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Utah | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Flyers | 69c | 72.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Flyers | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Utah | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…0d9fbacked Utah | 37c | 58.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Flyers | 26c | 47.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…bec6backed Flyers | 51c | 41.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Utah | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Flyers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…3806backed Utah | 59c | 39.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 55c | 38.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…4c1fbacked Flyers | 53c | 35.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…1e57backed Flyers | 70c | 35.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec22…a151backed Utah | 30c | 35.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…f7b6backed Flyers | 63c | 32.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa2…cc57backed Utah | 49c | 32.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Flyers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c6…7cc5backed Utah | 52c | 29.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c34…54a6backed Flyers | 50c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked Flyers | 49c | 28.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0a…3e6abacked Flyers | 42c | 28.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +179.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…0671backed Flyers | 39c | 27.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…cdbdbacked Flyers | 50c | 24.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…4433backed Utah | 58c | 23.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…2086backed Flyers | 51c | 20.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…eccebacked Flyers | 63c | 17.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.