TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Flyers, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda4d…c8eebacked Blue Jackets1c13,614$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Flyers79c10,337$8,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.556657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d52…94c4backed Flyers50c7,005$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Flyers72c6,538$4,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.275743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Blue Jackets22c4,550$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0012951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da9…fbcfbacked Blue Jackets50c4,000$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf217…2463backed Blue Jackets51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blue Jackets22c2,362$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.7535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Blue Jackets50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Blue Jackets50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ec…2682backed Flyers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab10…9905backed Blue Jackets50c1,970$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f9…29babacked Flyers50c1,970$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e7…1a08backed Blue Jackets51c1,950$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jackets1c1,766$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.747450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…a7cfbacked Blue Jackets20c1,089$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Blue Jackets50c1,086$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.744645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed Blue Jackets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4a…cacabacked Blue Jackets8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…1090backed Flyers53c634.59$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0299…8a59backed Blue Jackets51c570.65$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf573…de66backed Flyers49c570.65$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Blue Jackets3c534.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7431334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jackets33c529.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Flyers53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2359750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jackets46c499.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blue Jackets50c422.11$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0629847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50c5…d103backed Blue Jackets50c409.45$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b8…2ee0backed Flyers50c409.45$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.731258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1501…6623backed Flyers50c401.4$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1982…f55ebacked Blue Jackets50c401.4$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e7…1d20backed Flyers50c401.05$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…b048backed Blue Jackets50c401.05$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0715…b17bbacked Flyers51c399.32$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.671478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+49.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bac…9ddabacked Blue Jackets49c399.32$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4c…b823backed Flyers51c396.2$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbd…a594backed Blue Jackets49c396.2$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1596…4361backed Flyers51c394.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.171978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xefed…1fffbacked Blue Jackets49c394.23$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc70…ad54backed Flyers51c392.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.291580%12 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+51%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf27d…51b7backed Blue Jackets49c392.43$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…4adbbacked Blue Jackets49c391.53$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.851050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffd…1988backed Flyers51c391.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc57d…d9a4backed Flyers51c389.91$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.061764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8024…482abacked Blue Jackets49c389.91$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Flyers54c380$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.82369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Blue Jackets54c371.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Blue Jackets46c337.29$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.486137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9021…3f4bbacked Blue Jackets51c313.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd3…4411backed Blue Jackets51c313.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a72…3c27backed Flyers51c301.37$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3420…1856backed Blue Jackets49c301.37$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Blue Jackets4c301.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.161020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b1e…8bf1backed Blue Jackets49c292.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc54…aad2backed Flyers51c292.98$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d5…0121backed Flyers51c281.47$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce1…7dafbacked Blue Jackets49c281.47$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+52.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Blue Jackets47c276.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Blue Jackets47c263.84$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1245149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blue Jackets50c255$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Flyers49c216.09$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2111445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Flyers50c200.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.217650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jackets47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Flyers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb62…4215backed Blue Jackets49c199.22$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8200…f63dbacked Flyers51c199.22$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd213…cd36backed Blue Jackets49c198.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7e…47c9backed Flyers51c198.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Flyers49c196.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6123144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e22…880fbacked Blue Jackets11c195.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Blue Jackets52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers51c188.93$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf01…02bcbacked Flyers46c188.62$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dec…f680backed Blue Jackets54c188.62$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Flyers54c186.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6713562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f11…a95ebacked Flyers27c182.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.363100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+304%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Blue Jackets47c162.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.296936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdeb…22dbbacked Blue Jackets47c159.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jackets47c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.31,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fff…a627backed Flyers14c145.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd501…c50abacked Flyers12c140.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x974b…03d0backed Flyers15c139.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+339.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Flyers49c119.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.187660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4d5…ede5backed Flyers50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Blue Jackets51c108$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9658…8f9dbacked Blue Jackets51c108$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3296…8d88backed Flyers50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Blue Jackets51c106.02$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0722246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Flyers15c102.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.941816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0835…c0abbacked Flyers53c100.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.418248.8%40 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Blue Jackets48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Flyers70c99.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.761457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blue Jackets47c98.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ea0…0467backed Flyers55c96.31$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.342642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x582e…490cbacked Blue Jackets52c96.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed7…0803backed Flyers50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5781…95a2backed Flyers55c95.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.271637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Flyers29c94.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.78450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6497…7a69backed Flyers15c93.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x815c…4dd3backed Flyers54c88.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.