NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d6695fae8cd307bd1e732b82f94cd926b0d6d12653c0c4721c223fc9507530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Red Wings, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Red Wings | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…441cbacked Red Wings | 32c | 1,341$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…ab8abacked Red Wings | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Red Wings | 31c | 979.23$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.68 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…d058backed Red Wings | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…68c9backed Stars | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 69c | 699.88$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.96 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Stars | 68c | 680$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…9ab5backed Stars | 68c | 677$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf85…5d36backed Stars | 68c | 655.74$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 67c | 633.23$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.17 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…3923backed Stars | 68c | 627.08$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…589dbacked Stars | 68c | 599.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Stars | 67c | 599.95$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…f445backed Red Wings | 31c | 589.11$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…d3f8backed Red Wings | 32c | 573.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 32c | 424.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Red Wings | 4c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings | 30c | 364.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…d062backed Stars | 69c | 324.98$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Red Wings | 37c | 324.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…a750backed Red Wings | 32c | 269.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 32c | 230.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 12c | 229.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…aa1ebacked Red Wings | 32c | 218.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 63c | 204.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…240abacked Stars | 68c | 197.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Red Wings | 30c | 196.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Red Wings | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77be…252ebacked Red Wings | 33c | 162.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…bcc3backed Red Wings | 33c | 159.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Red Wings | 32c | 156.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a377backed Red Wings | 32c | 155.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bc…69b2backed Red Wings | 33c | 146.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…34dabacked Stars | 69c | 145.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe469…0363backed Red Wings | 33c | 144.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…255dbacked Red Wings | 33c | 143.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…937dbacked Red Wings | 32c | 138.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c3…4bf8backed Red Wings | 33c | 136.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Stars | 72c | 119.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…4441backed Stars | 68c | 114.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…044abacked Red Wings | 33c | 109.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Stars | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…35bfbacked Stars | 68c | 78.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…f05dbacked Red Wings | 33c | 77.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…a350backed Stars | 68c | 77.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…9589backed Red Wings | 33c | 76.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…2b5bbacked Stars | 69c | 76.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…c38abacked Stars | 68c | 76.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0afe…528abacked Red Wings | 33c | 75.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Stars | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…c09dbacked Stars | 68c | 74.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbd…5dafbacked Stars | 69c | 73.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…ad67backed Stars | 68c | 73.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…e6bdbacked Stars | 68c | 73.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…5005backed Stars | 69c | 73.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…956cbacked Stars | 68c | 72.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88e…e735backed Stars | 69c | 72.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…11d1backed Stars | 69c | 71.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Red Wings | 34c | 71.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…5e35backed Red Wings | 33c | 71.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31cabacked Stars | 69c | 71.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8843…2e85backed Stars | 68c | 70.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…4e4fbacked Stars | 68c | 70.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a15…d19bbacked Stars | 68c | 69.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…0828backed Stars | 68c | 69.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b30…6a04backed Stars | 69c | 69.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…7029backed Red Wings | 33c | 69.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e76…7ecbbacked Stars | 68c | 67.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ec…db90backed Red Wings | 33c | 67.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21be…8c3bbacked Stars | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0566…7bfebacked Red Wings | 32c | 66.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…42e5backed Stars | 67c | 66.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…d05bbacked Red Wings | 33c | 66.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2007…c513backed Stars | 68c | 66.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…daafbacked Stars | 68c | 66.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1559…6126backed Stars | 69c | 64.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Stars | 68c | 64.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…f36dbacked Red Wings | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6338…5ec3backed Red Wings | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…310ebacked Red Wings | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Stars | 80c | 62.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…f7c4backed Red Wings | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4005…12bebacked Red Wings | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761f…624ebacked Stars | 69c | 62.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…fe87backed Red Wings | 32c | 60.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d50…beecbacked Stars | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…1582backed Stars | 69c | 58.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0332…0366backed Stars | 68c | 56.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 67c | 56.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…de19backed Red Wings | 31c | 50.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c6…7cc5backed Red Wings | 33c | 50.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Stars | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…f0c1backed Red Wings | 32c | 49.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f7…88f5backed Stars | 67c | 48.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.