NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x038695e78dfc83dfbf380d9505ca61d1311d51ed72d4e7afa22edef01b0c8690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21fc…f3d2backed Devils | 72c | 7,073$5,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,105.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers | 33c | 5,047$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.85 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Flyers | 35c | 3,004$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.26 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 30c | 2,876$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.8 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…1a66backed Devils | 1c | 2,426$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Devils | 66c | 2,114$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.17 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Devils | 78c | 1,927$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Flyers | 9c | 1,276$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.87 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 35c | 1,245$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…e331backed Flyers | 36c | 1,105$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Devils | 65c | 1,074$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.4 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…d3f8backed Flyers | 36c | 1,034$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 64c | 999.94$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.96 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…76bfbacked Devils | 64c | 979.99$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Flyers | 74c | 959.68$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.94 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Flyers | 51c | 893.92$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Devils | 63c | 823.04$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.49 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Devils | 3c | 816.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a377backed Devils | 64c | 791.75$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Devils | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…aa1ebacked Devils | 64c | 775.76$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…004dbacked Flyers | 36c | 771.67$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…d5a1backed Flyers | 36c | 765.72$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Devils | 20c | 764.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Flyers | 44c | 755.02$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…a750backed Devils | 64c | 733.67$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…4684backed Flyers | 36c | 574.55$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Flyers | 38c | 531.17$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.73 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Devils | 64c | 526.16$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.91 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 34c | 497.45$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.31 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…36e8backed Devils | 65c | 412.45$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…a0f0backed Devils | 64c | 367$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 36c | 354.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.39 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 65c | 351.45$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Flyers | 44c | 343.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Devils | 76c | 300$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Devils | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils | 55c | 252.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Flyers | 34c | 237.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.93 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Flyers | 35c | 225$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Flyers | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Devils | 56c | 216.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Flyers | 36c | 200.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Devils | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Flyers | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…589dbacked Flyers | 36c | 158.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Devils | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Devils | 64c | 146.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…c4f7backed Flyers | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Flyers | 38c | 133.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…2ed5backed Devils | 64c | 130$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Flyers | 34c | 129.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Flyers | 48c | 123.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Flyers | 39c | 113.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Flyers | 36c | 109.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…34dabacked Devils | 64c | 105.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Devils | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flyers | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Flyers | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…1e55backed Flyers | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Devils | 56c | 90.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Flyers | 35c | 89.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb52…314abacked Devils | 55c | 80.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Flyers | 38c | 77.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d1…2491backed Devils | 64c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…44a8backed Flyers | 37c | 62.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Devils | 64c | 62.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393b…d73bbacked Flyers | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d50…beecbacked Devils | 41c | 60.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…d903backed Devils | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Flyers | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Flyers | 44c | 54.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Flyers | 38c | 52.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c6…7cc5backed Flyers | 36c | 50.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Flyers | 38c | 47.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…7afdbacked Devils | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 67cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…62d0backed Flyers | 37c | 46.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…f147backed Devils | 65c | 43.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed Devils | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…453dbacked Flyers | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Devils | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…9ec4backed Devils | 63c | 36.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd57…6822backed Devils | 64c | 35.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…93aabacked Devils | 64c | 34.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…a3cfbacked Devils | 65c | 34.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b31ebacked Flyers | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…320bbacked Flyers | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…8444backed Devils | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…94febacked Flyers | 40c | 30.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…4036backed Devils | 60c | 30.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Devils | 65c | 30.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Flyers | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…f4eebacked Devils | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Devils | 67c | 29.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6006backed Devils | 64c | 29.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Devils | 60c | 29.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…47eabacked Flyers | 36c | 29.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…82dfbacked Devils | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.