NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0960ed376bb0fa5c0fa6960c6f5acfaa0d5897c751c30ef5341e62c04b4290f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $819,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $941,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $819,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Pacers | 2c | 97,598$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.92 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a7c9backed Nuggets | 63c | 90,016$56,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,306.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…148dbacked Pacers | 37c | 90,016$33,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,306.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers | 31c | 52,540$16,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,291.28 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pacers | 28c | 38,217$10,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,519.18 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pacers | 11c | 32,423$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.78 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Nuggets | 63c | 28,126$17,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,406.79 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 13c | 26,759$3,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Nuggets | 62c | 21,272$13,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,083.27 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 59c | 15,000$8,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,080 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nuggets | 77c | 14,136$10,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.59 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 6c | 12,702$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.97 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 38c | 12,615$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.32 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Pacers | 40c | 11,685$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,627.32 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Pacers | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.93 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Pacers | 37c | 6,559$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.93 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Nuggets | 63c | 6,551$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.85 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Nuggets | 75c | 6,500$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.52 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers | 35c | 6,498$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.54 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pacers | 37c | 5,782$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.51 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Pacers | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pacers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 62c | 4,613$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.25 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Nuggets | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.9 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pacers | 36c | 3,999$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.81 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Pacers | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Pacers | 7c | 3,374$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Pacers | 38c | 3,134$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Nuggets | 63c | 3,120$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.4 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Pacers | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Nuggets | 64c | 3,001$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.94 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nuggets | 63c | 2,953$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.61 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Nuggets | 69c | 2,893$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.95 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Nuggets | 63c | 2,890$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.72 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Pacers | 37c | 2,890$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Nuggets | 71c | 2,872$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.9 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 61c | 2,807$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.91 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers | 41c | 2,694$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.6 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…91cebacked Pacers | 1c | 2,626$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 2c | 2,155$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 62c | 2,064$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.12 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Pacers | 37c | 2,025$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.64 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Pacers | 14c | 1,950$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,828$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.94 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 38c | 1,801$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.54 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers | 24c | 1,800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Nuggets | 62c | 1,710$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…79aebacked Pacers | 38c | 1,708$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…d9ddbacked Pacers | 9c | 1,622$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Nuggets | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Pacers | 17c | 1,550$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…eccbbacked Nuggets | 68c | 1,401$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…7dd1backed Pacers | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Pacers | 22c | 1,400$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Nuggets | 63c | 1,328$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.26 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Pacers | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Nuggets | 65c | 1,300$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.26 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers | 1c | 1,252$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…c31cbacked Nuggets | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…deb7backed Pacers | 37c | 1,241$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers | 29c | 1,210$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.26 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,155$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…daecbacked Pacers | 37c | 1,145$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Pacers | 37c | 1,140$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pacers | 2c | 1,041$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…c4e0backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,004$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Pacers | 38c | 1,000$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.25 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…a67fbacked Pacers | 36c | 999.94$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pacers | 36c | 999.93$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.97 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…e487backed Pacers | 38c | 975.74$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pacers | 36c | 971.83$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.39 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 38c | 937.51$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.04 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Nuggets | 63c | 929.91$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Pacers | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Pacers | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Pacers | 38c | 849.5$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.81 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Nuggets | 63c | 793.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.77 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Nuggets | 66c | 726.74$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.09 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pacers | 15c | 668.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Nuggets | 63c | 646.67$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.27 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Nuggets | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…f347backed Nuggets | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pacers | 36c | 599.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.98 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…b32ebacked Nuggets | 63c | 592.66$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pacers | 27c | 587.17$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f25…5dedbacked Pacers | 37c | 581.16$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…cde0backed Nuggets | 64c | 571.88$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nuggets | 61c | 562.35$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.32 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Pacers | 38c | 552.63$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pacers | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…6e13backed Pacers | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…5ee8backed Nuggets | 70c | 538.24$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Pacers | 40c | 532$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pacers | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…b38dbacked Nuggets | 64c | 520.31$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked Pacers | 8c | 508$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Nuggets | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.