NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37cb7bb9b0758d8ad9d173e04e75ac66541d73379f31e11bfdcba25c12ba4a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Hawks | 0c | 11,707$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Nuggets | 51c | 8,851$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.12 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Hawks | 50c | 7,673$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.37 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 4c | 6,490$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Hawks | 10c | 6,184$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Hawks | 8c | 4,350$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,302$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.2 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nuggets | 61c | 3,025$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.45 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 1c | 2,667$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Hawks | 1c | 2,040$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Nuggets | 72c | 2,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 18c | 1,948$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Hawks | 53c | 1,889$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hawks | 9c | 1,637$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Hawks | 2c | 1,630$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 17c | 1,584$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.21 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Hawks | 59c | 1,401$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.77 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,164$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.29 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Hawks | 54c | 1,084$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,059$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.87 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Hawks | 6c | 1,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…94c4backed Nuggets | 39c | 959.22$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Nuggets | 45c | 910.01$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Hawks | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 51c | 742.31$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.58 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks | 1c | 740$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Nuggets | 78c | 700$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.49 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 618.26$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.89 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Nuggets | 41c | 613$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.2 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Nuggets | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Nuggets | 40c | 466.49$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.73 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Hawks | 54c | 460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks | 17c | 452.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Hawks | 22c | 449.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 4c | 441.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Hawks | 24c | 423.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56dd…5d25backed Hawks | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Hawks | 51c | 379.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 31c | 367.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Hawks | 3c | 366.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Nuggets | 47c | 341.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…b299backed Hawks | 34c | 316.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Nuggets | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Nuggets | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Nuggets | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Hawks | 60c | 222$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Nuggets | 59c | 222$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…5932backed Nuggets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Nuggets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Nuggets | 51c | 212.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks | 58c | 204.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Hawks | 16c | 200.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Hawks | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Hawks | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…641dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Hawks | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Hawks | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…c239backed Nuggets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Hawks | 19c | 164.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…e3dcbacked Hawks | 61c | 162.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Hawks | 30c | 147.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Nuggets | 42c | 141.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…d1bbbacked Hawks | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hawks | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Hawks | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Nuggets | 43c | 121.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed Nuggets | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…ffd2backed Nuggets | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab25…aad2backed Hawks | 11c | 110.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Hawks | 29c | 110.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Nuggets | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…93a8backed Hawks | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8472…1955backed Nuggets | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Hawks | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Hawks | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Hawks | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hawks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Hawks | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Hawks | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47c…c5b8backed Nuggets | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Nuggets | 39c | 71.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…321dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…028fbacked Hawks | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Nuggets | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…bf46backed Nuggets | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 42c | 61.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…b15dbacked Nuggets | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…0066backed Hawks | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed63…10d6backed Nuggets | 50c | 59.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…def8backed Nuggets | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…009dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.