NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d8c635f65eb8e684e46965bd4a3a4f07bc5f654c566eb07f984d813b2bc6bec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Bucks, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $774,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $777,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Bucks | 40c | 62,650$25,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,112.51 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Trail Blazers | 75c | 60,264$45,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,008.45 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 46,231$18,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,131.53 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bucks | 0c | 38,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…3af8backed Bucks | 70c | 35,375$24,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,876.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…95ffbacked Bucks | 63c | 25,962$16,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,338.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Bucks | 68c | 25,563$17,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,367.95 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 19,387$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,524.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 16,830$5,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,342.93 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 13,341$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,153.76 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 11,717$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,308.5 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad3…5234backed Bucks | 79c | 10,543$8,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,380.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 75c | 9,860$7,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,358.83 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bucks | 67c | 9,546$6,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,363.07 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Bucks | 2c | 8,450$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 8,100$5,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Bucks | 4c | 8,005$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 7,622$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,515.4 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 7,606$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.11 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 6,463$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.6 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Bucks | 58c | 6,281$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.16 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bucks | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.97 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 67c | 5,646$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.18 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 5,344$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bucks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Bucks | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 4,704$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.71 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Bucks | 27c | 4,492$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.96 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Bucks | 68c | 3,663$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 3,455$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.64 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 3,100$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Bucks | 65c | 3,070$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.67 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks | 61c | 2,990$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.06 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 14c | 2,892$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.34 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 2,529$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.22 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 2,500$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Bucks | 67c | 2,482$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,442$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.07 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 2,322$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.68 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…4e2abacked Bucks | 79c | 2,148$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.61 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.98 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 67c | 1,990$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.42 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…80b9backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,936$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,852$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Bucks | 68c | 1,835$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,819$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…f2eabacked Bucks | 65c | 1,792$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Bucks | 67c | 1,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 1,790$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 1,693$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.03 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…ab0fbacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 1,608$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…a60ebacked Bucks | 65c | 1,537$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…4bd0backed Bucks | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…8f36backed Bucks | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…ffdbbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 1,500$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Bucks | 68c | 1,456$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Bucks | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 1,449$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.74 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Bucks | 67c | 1,440$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.06 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks | 68c | 1,439$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.36 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Bucks | 61c | 1,420$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.18 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 1,410$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.37 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,401$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.8 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 66c | 1,227$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.48 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed Bucks | 68c | 1,193$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.27 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 1,137$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.52 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 1,068$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.37 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 1,055$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.79 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 1,026$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.46 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Bucks | 79c | 1,012$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.6 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Bucks | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Bucks | 4c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 988$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.53 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…0c06backed Bucks | 65c | 981$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 947.23$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Bucks | 65c | 947$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Bucks | 65c | 945.68$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.69 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Bucks | 70c | 859.74$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 816.74$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.88 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 800$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Bucks | 67c | 740.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 724$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.92 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 67c | 711.68$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.44 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Bucks | 78c | 705.46$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks | 69c | 699.91$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.94 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 653.77$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.15 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 638.28$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.35 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…4c30backed Bucks | 65c | 626$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 609.89$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.41 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Bucks | 69c | 602.02$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Bucks | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 583.2$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.88 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.