NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4576fef036fe13d925d81380a8d3995669b30d6735fe6c3a7b46d80bbe8e815a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 24c | 20,021$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,768.05 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 20c | 14,488$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.63 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Wizards | 9c | 13,034$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.01 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Lakers | 76c | 11,374$8,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.76 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Lakers | 78c | 7,684$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 10c | 7,353$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…50c2backed Lakers | 78c | 6,421$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 23c | 6,085$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.9 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 24c | 6,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 23c | 5,963$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.77 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 20c | 5,957$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.6 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wizards | 22c | 5,920$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.56 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Lakers | 78c | 5,138$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.29 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lakers | 78c | 4,513$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.97 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 75c | 4,274$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.47 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 20c | 4,000$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Lakers | 78c | 3,922$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.3 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 21c | 3,707$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.49 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Wizards | 24c | 3,327$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.16 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Lakers | 78c | 3,205$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.13 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 16c | 2,916$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.06 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Lakers | 78c | 2,868$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.05 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Lakers | 77c | 2,831$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.14 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Lakers | 77c | 2,799$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.7 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards | 25c | 2,231$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.57 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Wizards | 7c | 2,122$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…af9abacked Lakers | 77c | 2,100$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…ff28backed Wizards | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 22c | 2,009$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.82 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wizards | 31c | 1,987$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.46 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Wizards | 15c | 1,858$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…33dbbacked Lakers | 75c | 1,854$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Wizards | 22c | 1,705$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.1 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Wizards | 23c | 1,634$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.26 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Lakers | 77c | 1,570$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.1 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 23c | 1,568$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.26 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Wizards | 24c | 1,554$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.04 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 15c | 1,504$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.25 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…dd41backed Wizards | 12c | 1,351$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a122backed Lakers | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Lakers | 77c | 1,304$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…4cd5backed Wizards | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fb2bbacked Lakers | 73c | 1,287$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wizards | 1c | 1,185$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Wizards | 24c | 1,170$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Wizards | 11c | 1,146$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 26c | 1,135$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.19 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards | 24c | 1,124$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Wizards | 9c | 1,100$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Lakers | 73c | 1,093$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.84 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Lakers | 76c | 1,088$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.06 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a066backed Wizards | 22c | 1,050$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers | 75c | 1,046$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.11 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…8f2bbacked Lakers | 77c | 1,042$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Wizards | 15c | 1,006$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lakers | 76c | 1,004$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…bd2abacked Lakers | 79c | 986.43$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…e852backed Lakers | 76c | 868.43$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.42 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…d2c2backed Wizards | 23c | 834.79$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…77e0backed Lakers | 78c | 832.56$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Wizards | 12c | 800$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Lakers | 77c | 752.92$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.42 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Wizards | 26c | 744.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Wizards | 22c | 731.37$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lakers | 77c | 720.78$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.78 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 74c | 676.77$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Wizards | 9c | 666.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Wizards | 22c | 666$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Lakers | 76c | 642.11$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wizards | 24c | 605$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Wizards | 25c | 557.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…a393backed Wizards | 25c | 532.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Wizards | 23c | 516.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Lakers | 78c | 510.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 25c | 505$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wizards | 22c | 500.03$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…ada8backed Lakers | 76c | 471.05$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…0982backed Wizards | 25c | 460$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 74c | 439.07$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…c6a2backed Lakers | 77c | 435.47$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers | 76c | 429.13$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed Lakers | 75c | 425.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Lakers | 77c | 414$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Wizards | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…3180backed Lakers | 76c | 397$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Wizards | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Lakers | 74c | 379.48$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Lakers | 76c | 359.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Wizards | 23c | 316.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 74c | 308.93$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…f19ebacked Wizards | 26c | 307.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…fdebbacked Lakers | 77c | 301.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Lakers | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Wizards | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…5516backed Lakers | 76c | 298$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…72b5backed Lakers | 74c | 282.43$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Lakers | 74c | 278.11$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…18edbacked Lakers | 77c | 271.09$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.