NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c2aeaf542ec16d15a5a240976b80d4bce0e9bec015b2fbb3db9232f6f01596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Magic, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Jazz | 36c | 22,972$8,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,603.57 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Magic | 57c | 16,225$9,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,293.94 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Magic | 2c | 14,287$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.72 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Jazz | 78c | 12,962$10,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Magic | 62c | 10,744$6,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,615.79 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 39c | 10,303$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.48 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Jazz | 52c | 8,383$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.8 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Magic | 35c | 7,177$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.69 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 1c | 7,136$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Jazz | 38c | 6,219$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.73 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Jazz | 53c | 5,642$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.89 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 55c | 5,627$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 64c | 4,900$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.91 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Magic | 63c | 4,736$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 1c | 4,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 32c | 3,745$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.38 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Magic | 63c | 3,733$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 38c | 3,573$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.8 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Magic | 63c | 3,046$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.82 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…5bfdbacked Magic | 65c | 2,329$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Magic | 60c | 2,134$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.39 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz | 38c | 1,988$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.52 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Jazz | 37c | 1,959$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.34 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 38c | 1,955$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.18 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 1,947$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…4cd5backed Jazz | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Jazz | 36c | 1,802$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.53 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Jazz | 62c | 1,710$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.97 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Jazz | 34c | 1,638$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.92 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Jazz | 80c | 1,622$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.89 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Magic | 57c | 1,602$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 63c | 1,554$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.88 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Magic | 62c | 1,515$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…9126backed Magic | 62c | 1,407$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Jazz | 40c | 1,402$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.05 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 1c | 1,306$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Magic | 57c | 1,303$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.36 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Jazz | 79c | 1,279$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.4 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz | 58c | 1,272$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.9 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Jazz | 61c | 1,261$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.68 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Jazz | 58c | 1,220$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.32 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 62c | 1,201$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.61 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 30c | 1,198$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.58 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 37c | 1,155$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.54 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Jazz | 41c | 1,152$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.76 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Magic | 45c | 1,107$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Jazz | 74c | 1,096$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.48 | 137 | 56.9%78 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Magic | 64c | 1,043$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked Magic | 65c | 1,009$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Magic | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Jazz | 76c | 925.12$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.03 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 63c | 923.59$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.82 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Magic | 60c | 839.03$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 66c | 835$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.1 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz | 37c | 811.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.28 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 59c | 747.71$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.88 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Magic | 68c | 735.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Jazz | 59c | 721.13$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.36 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz | 36c | 704.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.38 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Magic | 46c | 700$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6d…a13fbacked Jazz | 66c | 693.45$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.45 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0e8bbacked Jazz | 35c | 685.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz | 35c | 679.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.45 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Jazz | 38c | 607.9$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.9 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Magic | 53c | 601.41$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.16 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Magic | 20c | 594.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 14c | 594.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…ea29backed Jazz | 37c | 593.46$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Magic | 64c | 549.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Magic | 62c | 513.34$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 36c | 505$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.64 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Magic | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Jazz | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Magic | 43c | 492.65$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.55 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d15…018ebacked Jazz | 47c | 483.31$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…06b9backed Magic | 62c | 475.84$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…dd41backed Magic | 35c | 450$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.88 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 28c | 438.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Jazz | 78c | 438.05$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…f236backed Magic | 46c | 425.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Magic | 62c | 420.1$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Jazz | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…188dbacked Magic | 64c | 407.84$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…3f3abacked Jazz | 37c | 405.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Magic | 63c | 404.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e7…daf3backed Magic | 10c | 400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Magic | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Magic | 54c | 400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Jazz | 38c | 394$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.28 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…bd12backed Magic | 66c | 383.15$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…52dbbacked Magic | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Magic | 56c | 357.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Jazz | 35c | 357.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.15 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.