NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac8b8b60718a12b2b4c01fc024cd13bd4b984c32bce8b5b36398cba4e993070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Penguins, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 55c | 1,912$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.34 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Senators | 60c | 1,554$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.53 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Penguins | 33c | 1,415$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 45c | 1,275$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.47 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Senators | 54c | 1,188$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Penguins | 16c | 739.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…f83abacked Penguins | 46c | 727.29$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Senators | 54c | 599.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.98 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Senators | 67c | 503.56$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Senators | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…90ccbacked Penguins | 46c | 460$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators | 55c | 446.86$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.09 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Senators | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Senators | 73c | 435.97$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Penguins | 45c | 406.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Senators | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Penguins | 25c | 398$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Penguins | 44c | 339.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Penguins | 23c | 297.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Senators | 54c | 273.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 44c | 254.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Penguins | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Senators | 55c | 219.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Penguins | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Senators | 57c | 194.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Senators | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Senators | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Senators | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Penguins | 24c | 181.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ab…15c0backed Penguins | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa9…2642backed Penguins | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Senators | 54c | 158.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Penguins | 36c | 153.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Penguins | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3256backed Senators | 54c | 142.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 45c | 140.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Senators | 53c | 131.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f44…ce2fbacked Penguins | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…21aabacked Penguins | 45c | 122.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Penguins | 46c | 115.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded9…1437backed Penguins | 45c | 113.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…949cbacked Senators | 56c | 113.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…f556backed Senators | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…3fcabacked Penguins | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Penguins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Senators | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…33b2backed Penguins | 46c | 93.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Penguins | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Penguins | 45c | 88.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Senators | 75c | 74.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1e…f400backed Senators | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…fbacbacked Senators | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Penguins | 45c | 73.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…d56ebacked Senators | 50c | 73.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1935…b923backed Senators | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1618…8302backed Senators | 55c | 70.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…5ac4backed Senators | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…e991backed Senators | 54c | 68.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2b57backed Penguins | 49c | 66.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…fa59backed Penguins | 43c | 64.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…2a03backed Senators | 55c | 62.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb987…75b7backed Penguins | 47c | 62.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Penguins | 42c | 60.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…c4e9backed Penguins | 40c | 60.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…1af7backed Senators | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…b0a9backed Penguins | 53c | 58.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Penguins | 34c | 54.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…b2f2backed Senators | 55c | 54.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Penguins | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e364backed Senators | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed Penguins | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Penguins | 47c | 50.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Senators | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Senators | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Penguins | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…48b9backed Senators | 49c | 49.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…3005backed Penguins | 44c | 48.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…b4f1backed Senators | 49c | 47.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e5…5b3dbacked Senators | 51c | 45.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…eb15backed Senators | 52c | 45.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…b486backed Penguins | 48c | 45.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…6ec3backed Senators | 55c | 45.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…8781backed Senators | 57c | 45.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Penguins | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Penguins | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…363fbacked Senators | 54c | 44.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b16…d747backed Senators | 54c | 44.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cf…d3fbbacked Penguins | 46c | 43.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761e…efa9backed Senators | 54c | 43.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…465bbacked Penguins | 46c | 43.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…1b0bbacked Senators | 51c | 42.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6c…6962backed Penguins | 49c | 42.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…24b9backed Penguins | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8448…ed9fbacked Penguins | 43c | 41.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fa…ab33backed Penguins | 51c | 41.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.