TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked Hawks17c10,319$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.0633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Spurs80c8,333$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.66361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Spurs63c8,328$5,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks22c6,847$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.673,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5b…23cabacked Hawks1c6,666$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.661566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+76.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hawks0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Spurs79c5,000$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.991,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Hawks35c4,796$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.5811834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks29c4,789$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.61,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Hawks39c4,481$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.2115551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hawks20c4,444$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.1834532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Spurs80c4,205$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.9716838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs62c3,968$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.5396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hawks24c3,037$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.8472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Hawks37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11014438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Hawks16c2,791$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks38c2,637$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.861,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks18c2,613$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.35,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…5c3cbacked Spurs63c2,543$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.011450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Hawks24c2,540$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.89534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xebaa…992ebacked Spurs61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ff…1a3abacked Hawks38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.821060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Spurs69c2,494$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.2617044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Spurs62c2,446$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.5143653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b10backed Hawks38c2,411$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Spurs62c2,181$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.7473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Hawks36c2,055$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.917047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Hawks39c2,051$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Spurs70c1,719$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5175366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0546…2496backed Spurs62c1,611$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks6c1,511$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.631,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Hawks35c1,487$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.494847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd995…d3f0backed Spurs62c1,451$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef3…d60ebacked Spurs61c1,440$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.751050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x152d…e2c2backed Spurs62c1,433$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs62c1,365$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.5250245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Hawks38c1,317$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6055…62e4backed Hawks38c1,291$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Hawks38c1,283$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.661855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Hawks38c1,251$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.2225833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cde…038abacked Hawks39c1,226$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+200%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81a…1643backed Hawks38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b7…1e3cbacked Spurs61c1,189$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d1…2361backed Hawks38c1,166$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Spurs80c1,029$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2091,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Spurs62c1,017$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.2522039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Hawks40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Hawks38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Spurs62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38033752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf35f…43a9backed Hawks31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hawks37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Hawks33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Hawks39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Hawks15c999.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Hawks24c999.98$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9936434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Spurs62c999.95$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9973…996abacked Hawks38c917.68$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs60c887.01$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Hawks20c880$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9312232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hawks7c819.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.561,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Spurs63c800.04$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0125845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Spurs63c767.6$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.67150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Spurs70c747.57$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9119033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spurs63c740$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc027…5cd5backed Hawks40c725$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Spurs61c715.52$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.0561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6c…42b2backed Spurs64c658.67$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.129154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ec…f502backed Spurs62c645$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.12433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3095…b2a6backed Hawks13c622.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.294440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Hawks38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2284022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9df…b508backed Spurs62c583.87$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.87785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf2…0300backed Spurs77c575.62$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Spurs62c549.97$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.531,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hawks14c547.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7620…d9f0backed Spurs62c535.19$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.371353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hawks38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Hawks38c518.25$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9414563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Hawks39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs61c504.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Hawks39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19528651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hawks2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc822…c185backed Hawks20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs62c483.04$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs63c450$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Hawks33c444.54$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.719152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xccf7…a4fdbacked Spurs62c441.94$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Hawks21c430$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.931935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Hawks40c413.78$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1648343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Hawks39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1568547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Spurs67c375.12$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7947357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Spurs60c367.06$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8235046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Hawks42c350.82$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8713140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ce4…8733backed Hawks39c335.9$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+47.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Spurs62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5819145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Spurs62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5812657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Spurs62c321.48$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1622950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs69c307.13$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1449849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb33…aaadbacked Hawks34c307.07$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.563215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.