TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche52c5,263$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,715.171,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Avalanche41c4,539$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.8335545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Wild48c4,417$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.1914949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Avalanche7c3,334$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8560%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche21c3,213$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.0631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Wild32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9824546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…6810backed Avalanche1c2,674$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c4…274dbacked Avalanche1c2,008$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche66c1,471$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.751,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db1…d5ffbacked Avalanche2c1,126$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Avalanche69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild31c999.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.991,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cc…5a1ebacked Wild33c980.52$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+167.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild59c864.91$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.873,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x954b…ee6bbacked Avalanche4c811.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…b052backed Avalanche6c750.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db8…5169backed Avalanche3c640.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche19c624.32$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x943f…03ebbacked Avalanche67c538$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wild32c497.24$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.136642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd995…d3f0backed Avalanche67c442.52$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x668a…4af8backed Avalanche5c432.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Avalanche53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-60.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche27c366.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba2…eaa7backed Avalanche32c331.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.341764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Avalanche68c330$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Wild66c329.42$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ef0…a56ebacked Avalanche68c319.9$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild33c300$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.061,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Avalanche51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Avalanche67c299.95$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7138040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Avalanche4c254.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.627450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Wild37c254.78$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.785464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Avalanche67c250$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.54742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Wild33c224.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.086342.9%27 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffc…c79dbacked Wild34c210.29$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Wild33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13470249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Avalanche68c165$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.213756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Wild32c151.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.189251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed Wild70c118.2$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.233781.1%30 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Wild68c114.44$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Avalanche68c110$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.841851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b1…34dabacked Avalanche49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Wild33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6750049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wild33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6781846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Avalanche52c99.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.829861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Wild43c81.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.72250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Wild33c80.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.046246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Avalanche23c78.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.639553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Wild77c77.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.967448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af0…c929backed Avalanche68c75.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Wild54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.074852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd146…40c1backed Avalanche68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Wild52c72.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.088950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a3…8ea1backed Avalanche68c65.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Wild32c65.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3562944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c96…b93fbacked Avalanche68c65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15a…4bd1backed Avalanche64c61.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aef…ad3fbacked Wild33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Wild34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.828863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe814…47cabacked Wild34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987d…7afdbacked Avalanche68c55.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick67cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Avalanche68c55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.447249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c6…7cc5backed Wild34c46.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.392548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Wild33c46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.828627.9%24 W · 62 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Wild33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4528542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe19c…e42fbacked Wild34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+68%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wild30c43.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4729847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Avalanche54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.617054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22d…e35dbacked Avalanche68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Wild38c39.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4919057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80b9…8b0dbacked Avalanche68c37.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7308…8058backed Avalanche68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf734…c613backed Wild35c36.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.863729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc6…537dbacked Avalanche68c35.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dd6…0c2dbacked Wild32c35.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2b…2b46backed Avalanche66c35.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf561…5fc0backed Wild33c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…374ebacked Wild33c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc618…f81bbacked Avalanche68c35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadbc…4bfebacked Avalanche67c35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df3…6acbbacked Avalanche54c34.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d2…e76bbacked Wild33c34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x886a…af34backed Wild33c34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098d…0270backed Avalanche68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a97…ba6abacked Avalanche68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x534a…d164backed Avalanche68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17c1…51a5backed Wild33c34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+149.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa363…3376backed Avalanche67c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17a9…864dbacked Avalanche68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe5…152bbacked Wild33c34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…6adcbacked Avalanche68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3608…6ef8backed Wild32c34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1035…904fbacked Wild33c33.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa7…5284backed Avalanche67c33.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4722…74b4backed Wild33c33.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.341376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…24fcbacked Wild33c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+151.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.