NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8faf266de1ebf17e93b9ceb4f708027d989ae2a741dcff49d51ffb9f1ddcce29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Bulls | 75c | 50,241$37,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,732.01 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 77c | 28,053$21,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,520.4 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Warriors | 39c | 14,649$5,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,994.16 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 50c | 12,022$6,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,965.71 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Warriors | 23c | 8,020$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150.62 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Bulls | 72c | 7,000$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.16 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 58c | 6,274$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.85 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 33c | 6,058$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Warriors | 67c | 5,843$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.31 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Warriors | 31c | 5,741$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.47 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Warriors | 70c | 5,464$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.14 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bulls | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 33c | 4,127$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.81 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Warriors | 31c | 4,094$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.55 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 36c | 3,563$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.39 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Warriors | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bulls | 80c | 3,023$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.88 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls | 32c | 3,001$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.2 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Warriors | 68c | 2,986$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.87 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Warriors | 67c | 2,688$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.56 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Warriors | 28c | 2,636$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.26 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Bulls | 32c | 2,610$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.04 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 68c | 2,576$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.87 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bulls | 33c | 2,458$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.14 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Bulls | 35c | 2,225$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,021$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.22 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Bulls | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…68f9backed Bulls | 31c | 1,956$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Warriors | 74c | 1,771$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.3 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Bulls | 28c | 1,624$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Warriors | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Bulls | 72c | 1,579$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.34 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls | 33c | 1,459$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.46 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Warriors | 66c | 1,409$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.76 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Warriors | 73c | 1,375$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.59 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Warriors | 45c | 1,340$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.95 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Warriors | 35c | 1,329$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.04 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 39c | 1,150$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bulls | 31c | 1,141$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.96 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Bulls | 33c | 1,135$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.55 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls | 1c | 1,131$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 57c | 1,123$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.47 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls | 2c | 1,065$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Warriors | 29c | 1,055$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.08 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Warriors | 53c | 1,041$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.17 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Warriors | 33c | 1,001$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Warriors | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Warriors | 32c | 999.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.99 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls | 31c | 999.76$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.88 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Warriors | 25c | 835.26$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.72 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 67c | 798.95$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.65 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Warriors | 69c | 775.8$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Warriors | 66c | 763.48$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…e852backed Warriors | 66c | 761.49$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.65 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Warriors | 15c | 749.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bulls | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Bulls | 70c | 665.85$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.1 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 68c | 650$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Warriors | 30c | 646$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 32c | 599.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Bulls | 32c | 597.13$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Warriors | 51c | 593.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.59 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Warriors | 47c | 569.51$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.89 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 69c | 529$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bulls | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bulls | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Warriors | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…3097backed Warriors | 68c | 495.59$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…062fbacked Bulls | 33c | 493.94$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Warriors | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Bulls | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 69c | 430.1$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Warriors | 25c | 420$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.68 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Bulls | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…6acdbacked Bulls | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors | 69c | 370.45$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2932backed Bulls | 32c | 319.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Bulls | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Bulls | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Warriors | 77c | 301.28$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Bulls | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Warriors | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…0c2cbacked Warriors | 34c | 291.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.43 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Bulls | 35c | 285.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Warriors | 53c | 264.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Warriors | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…8afebacked Bulls | 33c | 248.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Bulls | 69c | 226.49$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bulls | 33c | 221.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Warriors | 68c | 219$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…c585backed Warriors | 31c | 206.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Bulls | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bulls | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.