NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4210e685e1b8e2667f4f07278633e4a625c0a6cee562197d94af02e11da24b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Celtics, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $569,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 621 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Celtics | 39c | 59,557$23,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,141.69 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 42c | 59,071$24,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,899.69 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pistons | 53c | 55,171$29,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,663.64 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Pistons | 58c | 40,750$23,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,081.16 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Celtics | 64c | 28,594$18,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,225.34 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons | 36c | 28,122$10,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000.69 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pistons | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Celtics | 63c | 19,884$12,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,563.39 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Celtics | 52c | 19,528$10,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,095.75 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Celtics | 64c | 17,355$11,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,148.65 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 63c | 14,861$9,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,360.65 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Pistons | 48c | 13,923$6,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,251.01 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons | 47c | 11,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Celtics | 66c | 10,881$7,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,178.24 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 39c | 10,073$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,151.2 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 37c | 8,050$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.44 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Pistons | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.85 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 38c | 6,390$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.9 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Pistons | 39c | 6,088$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.05 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pistons | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.93 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Pistons | 77c | 5,580$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.65 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Pistons | 37c | 5,415$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.3 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Celtics | 46c | 5,209$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.75 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pistons | 36c | 5,120$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.1 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Celtics | 0c | 5,062$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Celtics | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 36c | 4,814$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.27 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Celtics | 63c | 4,799$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 36c | 4,247$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Celtics | 63c | 4,007$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.58 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Celtics | 34c | 3,716$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.17 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Celtics | 31c | 3,436$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Celtics | 3c | 3,340$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Celtics | 46c | 3,259$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.57 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Celtics | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pistons | 37c | 3,182$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.69 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Celtics | 27c | 2,930$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.35 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons | 43c | 2,924$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.23 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 38c | 2,880$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.45 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Pistons | 35c | 2,855$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.59 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Celtics | 65c | 2,828$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.12 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a93…583fbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,806$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Celtics | 64c | 2,792$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 1c | 2,696$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Celtics | 64c | 2,607$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.46 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Pistons | 40c | 2,498$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.56 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pistons | 36c | 2,364$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.88 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Celtics | 63c | 2,339$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.56 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 36c | 2,311$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.94 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…0946backed Pistons | 37c | 2,300$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8322…fd9bbacked Celtics | 61c | 2,300$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Celtics | 29c | 2,200$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.99 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Celtics | 56c | 2,121$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.42 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Pistons | 35c | 2,120$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.69 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pistons | 35c | 2,032$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.77 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Celtics | 63c | 2,002$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons | 37c | 2,000$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.15 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Pistons | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Celtics | 2c | 1,950$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Celtics | 63c | 1,906$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 37c | 1,803$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.12 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Celtics | 62c | 1,800$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.97 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Celtics | 63c | 1,787$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.85 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Celtics | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons | 44c | 1,706$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.02 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons | 46c | 1,574$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.26 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Celtics | 1c | 1,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Celtics | 3c | 1,470$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pistons | 41c | 1,463$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.21 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Celtics | 8c | 1,430$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Pistons | 37c | 1,422$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.48 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…cfecbacked Celtics | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Pistons | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pistons | 54c | 1,364$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.99 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…3612backed Pistons | 61c | 1,232$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Celtics | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons | 37c | 1,164$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.82 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Pistons | 38c | 1,155$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.1 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pistons | 56c | 1,140$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.09 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb613…cb2dbacked Celtics | 66c | 1,133$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Celtics | 61c | 1,131$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.19 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Celtics | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c89…184cbacked Celtics | 47c | 1,025$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Pistons | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 38c | 1,000$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.88 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Pistons | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Celtics | 2c | 984.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pistons | 65c | 970.57$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.3 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Pistons | 56c | 945.32$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.2 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Celtics | 37c | 930$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pistons | 36c | 920.97$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.83 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Celtics | 43c | 900$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Celtics | 50c | 900$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Celtics | 62c | 799.95$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.97 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pistons | 38c | 791.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.24 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Celtics | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Celtics | 37c | 770$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Celtics | 42c | 722.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Celtics | 69c | 720.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.