TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

UConn vs. North Carolina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UConnof UConn, North Carolina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$293,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e80…59e8backed UConn46c75,934$34,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,004.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked North Carolina54c58,909$31,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,810.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+99%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed North Carolina0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe330…1674backed North Carolina1c15,902$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.85742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick21cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed North Carolina54c9,714$5,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,260.661250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed UConn52c9,000$4,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,329.947335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed North Carolina55c8,086$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.339843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked North Carolina8c6,253$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.152733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed UConn44c5,451$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.47475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+110%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked North Carolina54c5,303$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.1423145.5%105 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed North Carolina39c4,108$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.2850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed UConn45c3,556$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed North Carolina2c3,501$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.021233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed UConn68c3,311$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.535657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked North Carolina18c3,257$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.611747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked North Carolina35c2,908$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked North Carolina56c2,854$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed North Carolina7c2,822$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.195520%11 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed UConn45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.0939954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked North Carolina54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed North Carolina17c1,602$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.92347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed North Carolina27c1,594$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.286243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2c…b94dbacked North Carolina5c1,300$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked North Carolina1c1,300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed UConn68c1,168$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked North Carolina56c1,112$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed North Carolina2c1,110$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.680%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed North Carolina56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…9912backed North Carolina55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed North Carolina56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed North Carolina56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked North Carolina55c999.99$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.54146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed UConn44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6f…3173backed North Carolina55c999.89$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf892…9769backed UConn44c949.65$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked North Carolina54c909.21$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.974839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed UConn52c880.99$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.361050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+105.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed North Carolina41c849.7$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.721650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked UConn70c716.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37cd…5b44backed North Carolina33c572.7$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd47a…8b38backed North Carolina16c506.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed North Carolina20c497.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.72147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed UConn60c490$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed UConn48c480.27$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.274254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed North Carolina54c445$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.311855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed UConn45c420$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked UConn60c377.03$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.815543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed North Carolina3c368.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54694.3%3 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed UConn70c367.7$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked North Carolina57c351.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed North Carolina6c350$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-67.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked North Carolina57c325.06$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.617653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed UConn60c323.63$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12920341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked UConn47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.151827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked North Carolina25c303.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.892326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked North Carolina30c299.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked UConn45c273.76$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed UConn45c244.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.44540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed North Carolina55c241.42$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.643461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed North Carolina56c230.81$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.534445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed UConn45c222.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed North Carolina19c208.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.52229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-73.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed North Carolina54c200.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.944055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked North Carolina54c200.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.935446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked North Carolina54c200.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.933647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed North Carolina54c200.96$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.932454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed UConn70c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed UConn44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.995930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed North Carolina6c199.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…d00ebacked UConn54c184.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-55.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c7f…9c99backed North Carolina15c180$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2770%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc035…ec07backed North Carolina56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6448…423dbacked North Carolina57c175.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168b…b04abacked UConn46c175.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x608c…39c9backed North Carolina44c169.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed UConn78c165.68$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked North Carolina11c157.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5912816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed UConn45c150.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.621258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed North Carolina57c131.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.792060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…4926backed North Carolina56c128.05$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed UConn72c121.07$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.972955.2%16 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5808…3e81backed UConn45c117.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked UConn46c109.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.541338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed North Carolina54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548347%39 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed North Carolina54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked UConn43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x322f…9372backed UConn45c96.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2c…b96cbacked North Carolina33c91.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0d…747bbacked North Carolina57c90.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked UConn45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.891250%6 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2adc…6f51backed UConn45c88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6e…a704backed North Carolina57c85.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab1…feffbacked North Carolina56c84.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed UConn47c82.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a82…9f15backed North Carolina50c74.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65dc…0b11backed North Carolina38c68.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e0…f11cbacked North Carolina24c67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b7…ee73backed North Carolina38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4246…100dbacked UConn46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58de…35c7backed UConn45c64.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.