NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74f6dcb16909313bc038fae8a3e392f00d5c41179373dbc1d7c450dcdafeff45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 574 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Flames | 49c | 57,220$28,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,037.8 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Blues | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Flames | 46c | 23,077$10,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,615.62 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blues | 51c | 18,607$9,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,117.6 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blues | 51c | 16,412$8,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,972.46 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blues | 51c | 15,137$7,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,417.14 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flames | 48c | 6,929$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.92 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Blues | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Flames | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Blues | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.98 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Flames | 49c | 4,336$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.35 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 46c | 3,883$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.6 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames | 47c | 3,469$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.63 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blues | 51c | 3,353$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.99 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Flames | 49c | 3,062$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Blues | 55c | 2,673$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.73 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Flames | 48c | 2,511$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames | 47c | 2,406$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.85 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Flames | 48c | 2,036$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Blues | 53c | 2,002$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flames | 50c | 1,847$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.9 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Blues | 74c | 1,661$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.87 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Blues | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Flames | 49c | 1,594$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Blues | 53c | 1,514$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e7…be52backed Blues | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…eb2dbacked Blues | 54c | 1,470$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.2 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Flames | 46c | 1,287$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.97 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blues | 53c | 1,265$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.09 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 47c | 1,248$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.59 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 45c | 1,200$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Flames | 68c | 1,116$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Flames | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.92 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Flames | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blues | 52c | 993.85$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.8 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blues | 51c | 986.12$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues | 53c | 980.58$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.87 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3519…f19abacked Blues | 55c | 980$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Blues | 51c | 937.12$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.19 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flames | 46c | 935.19$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.19 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 49c | 929.57$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.74 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Blues | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Blues | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Flames | 49c | 906.12$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 46c | 899.52$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.78 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Blues | 55c | 800.22$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.55 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b74abacked Flames | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…6b64backed Flames | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flames | 48c | 666$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.01 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blues | 53c | 439.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.84 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Blues | 52c | 425.85$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.41 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 45c | 401.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.82 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Flames | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 76c | 388.55$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Blues | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Flames | 29c | 350.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…01dabacked Flames | 46c | 328$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa98…3c7ebacked Flames | 46c | 325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Flames | 46c | 318.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…fc2bbacked Flames | 46c | 313.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Blues | 53c | 308$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blues | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Blues | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Flames | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Blues | 34c | 273.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.09 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a31…b1edbacked Flames | 69c | 255.36$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Flames | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues | 53c | 246.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blues | 43c | 230.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 451 | 49.4%223 W · 228 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Flames | 67c | 222.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 178 | 41%73 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Flames | 47c | 206.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flames | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…7010backed Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…6595backed Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…c3eabacked Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…3576backed Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…8f43backed Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…54a8backed Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…bd7bbacked Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…c687backed Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…2764backed Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…ea58backed Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…de45backed Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…55f2backed Flames | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Flamesthis page
- Blues vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.