NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb2fd18b7fef042df84587c627497cd2b15a3f07219180202844792207be9825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Canucks, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb55f…6fd1backed Canucks | 38c | 10,051$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…99c0backed Capitals | 62c | 10,037$6,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b80…ad84backed Canucks | 38c | 10,037$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…46b3backed Capitals | 62c | 10,036$6,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Capitals | 64c | 3,114$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.05 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Canucks | 36c | 2,999$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.82 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canucks | 42c | 2,967$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.83 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Canucks | 37c | 2,844$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.55 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…7493backed Canucks | 1c | 1,918$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,735$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.54 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Capitals | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,573$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canucks | 37c | 1,437$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.7 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Canucks | 38c | 1,077$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.88 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 61c | 1,000$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.2 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Canucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…508ebacked Canucks | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Canucks | 39c | 884.85$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.48 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Capitals | 62c | 809.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 64c | 777.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.85 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 32c | 721.71$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…b03bbacked Canucks | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Canucks | 37c | 634.21$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.66 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 57c | 578.7$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 61c | 548.27$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.27 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Canucks | 39c | 538.71$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Canucks | 41c | 536.03$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Canucks | 38c | 510$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Canucks | 36c | 499.88$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canucks | 7c | 488$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Capitals | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Canucks | 36c | 449.44$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Canucks | 48c | 419.84$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 62c | 388.72$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…9adabacked Capitals | 72c | 329.24$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canucks | 36c | 328.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Canucks | 36c | 328.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 62c | 324.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Capitals | 64c | 313.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 63c | 307.19$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Canucks | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Canucks | 36c | 285.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Capitals | 60c | 281.56$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Capitals | 62c | 257.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Canucks | 48c | 234.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…61aabacked Canucks | 24c | 209.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 59c | 201.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Canucks | 36c | 200.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Canucks | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked Canucks | 40c | 197.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Canucks | 36c | 197$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Canucks | 37c | 195.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…09cdbacked Canucks | 38c | 193.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…2fdabacked Capitals | 64c | 181.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Capitals | 61c | 162.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Capitals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Capitals | 64c | 156.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canucks | 37c | 156.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Capitals | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…a5a1backed Capitals | 64c | 151.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Canucks | 13c | 150.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Capitals | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Capitals | 67c | 145$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Capitals | 64c | 132.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Capitals | 58c | 120.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Canucks | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Canucks | 41c | 116.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8b…c30ebacked Capitals | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…1accbacked Canucks | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Capitals | 64c | 103.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Capitals | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Canucks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Capitals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Canucks | 37c | 99.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3e…af0cbacked Canucks | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Capitals | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c3…b759backed Canucks | 37c | 89.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Capitals | 60c | 87.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Capitals | 62c | 85.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…2f37backed Canucks | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Canucks | 38c | 80.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…b260backed Capitals | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…8c8fbacked Capitals | 63c | 79.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa3…78c6backed Canucks | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…3b9abacked Capitals | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Capitals | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Canucks | 42c | 76.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…6375backed Capitals | 63c | 75.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Capitals | 63c | 74.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…6964backed Capitals | 60c | 73.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…f476backed Canucks | 40c | 72.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…3bccbacked Capitals | 60c | 71.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…a953backed Canucks | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…d5c5backed Capitals | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Capitals | 72c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.