TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Capitals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Capitals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Utah37c33,635$12,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,196.437758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Capitals59c17,401$10,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,255.6822842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Capitals65c6,845$4,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,474.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Capitals33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Utah53c4,816$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.1132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Capitals67c4,776$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2005648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Utah71c3,274$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.1285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals64c2,662$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.561,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Utah36c2,000$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.91540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…f94abacked Capitals64c1,998$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.711560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah58c1,932$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.823,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah36c1,858$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.1786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Capitals63c1,382$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-78.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Capitals62c1,200$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.7513756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Capitals35c931.79$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4418237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals63c910.3$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.4972847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Capitals63c839.25$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.739747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Capitals42c778.47$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Utah65c715.69$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8f…3435backed Capitals66c706.99$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.61785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Utah32c682.16$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.8725340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Capitals33c608.39$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed Utah57c587.72$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Utah69c582.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.617044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce3d…f363backed Capitals38c577.52$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.211450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Capitals20c525$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.798950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Utah80c443.9$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.851,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals63c403.43$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Utah49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20420751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Capitals59c337.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Capitals30c334.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Utah36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ba…dc31backed Utah34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc575…3fb1backed Capitals44c296$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.24922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe199…56a2backed Capitals57c278.41$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals37c271.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Utah37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2722246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Capitals41c238.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6811157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf21c…0beabacked Utah36c224.61$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Capitals67c218.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0728842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf92…37eabacked Capitals40c202.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Utah35c200$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0375…b9f2backed Utah34c191.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.181266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+58.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9045…24e3backed Capitals64c189.06$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a73…91ccbacked Utah53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe66…23d8backed Utah34c176.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Utah58c171.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.276050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals62c167.23$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae1e…7c4cbacked Utah34c159.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.381181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick52cpaid+60.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d99…cf63backed Capitals55c150.07$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Utah54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Utah35c149.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.879251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Utah38c144.48$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda9f…00bebacked Capitals65c138.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5945…ac63backed Utah36c136.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.113447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ae…85febacked Capitals67c131.34$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x394c…902dbacked Utah36c130.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.562240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25de…a006backed Capitals66c130.31$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Capitals51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.18870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1982…f55ebacked Capitals66c116.96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b8…2ee0backed Utah34c116.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.191258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Capitals34c115$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6217054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x383b…0cbbbacked Capitals15c105$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Utah34c102.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.166137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Capitals64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6426059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Capitals63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Capitals63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals20c99.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…9721backed Capitals39c99.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…461dbacked Utah34c95.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Utah35c95.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0327643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Utah34c94.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0360549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Capitals46c92.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.945954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba4…8964backed Capitals66c90.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1720…ef36backed Utah37c90.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.042356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals65c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.619347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Utah34c89.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.176357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4cc…0d55backed Capitals66c88.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf916…e968backed Utah56c85.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals33c84.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Utah79c84.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.251741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Capitals62c84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0779251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f8…21f8backed Capitals33c83.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdad0…8d6dbacked Capitals65c80.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Utah33c79.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.178537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8e3…b3a4backed Capitals65c77.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4a…84e8backed Capitals26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e5…be51backed Capitals65c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0015…1daebacked Utah74c67.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.576100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Capitals63c66.39$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd74…8afebacked Capitals65c64.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Utah38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.26246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef7…f922backed Capitals66c58.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0175…3b9abacked Utah34c57.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+75.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Utah56c56.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.72661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Utah34c55.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4448149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.