TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Oregon vs. Iowa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oregonof Oregon, Iowa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$594,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$752,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Oregon66c113,415$74,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,096.1912549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Iowa35c53,431$18,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,585.1614752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Iowa32c51,539$16,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,492.5711846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Iowa41c43,750$18,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,045.8585947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Oregon68c28,897$19,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,247.0516635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Oregon67c23,929$16,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,827.3834250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Iowa34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8006832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Iowa25c18,871$4,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,680.8686243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oregon66c18,519$12,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,236.3240541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Iowa43c16,536$7,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,126.487545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Oregon78c12,833$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.3319362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Oregon71c10,541$7,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,046.2864841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iowa33c10,145$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.732,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Iowa34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40015745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa35c9,238$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,197.9222750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Oregon54c9,230$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.685152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Oregon33c9,145$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,160.248145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Oregon64c9,075$5,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.127846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Iowa34c8,772$2,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,982.386731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa36c8,116$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.3381847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd1…da1cbacked Iowa28c7,387$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Oregon68c7,226$4,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.3310753.3%57 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Oregon65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10029055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Iowa34c5,495$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.229750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Oregon79c5,002$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Iowa31c4,999$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.836251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Iowa35c4,913$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.6926147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Oregon79c4,718$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.51361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Iowa34c4,087$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.5393548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oregon57c4,050$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.4919842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iowa35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa32c3,907$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.955350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Oregon66c3,788$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.882462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Oregon63c3,674$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.0968440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oregon78c3,511$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.6621538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Iowa20c3,506$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.1650%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Oregon68c3,500$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1202450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Iowa33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15517837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Iowa32c3,500$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Iowa6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.988629.1%25 W · 61 L+15.2wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+361.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Oregon68c3,236$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.5275651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Iowa30c3,098$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.9662843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Oregon66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.35446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Iowa25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Iowa32c2,933$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.5610046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Iowa38c2,887$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.3338450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Oregon73c2,750$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.510848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Oregon68c2,624$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.7849443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Oregon65c1,636$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.1527648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Oregon66c1,603$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.338851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Iowa45c1,564$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.217443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Oregon66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.151662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Iowa36c1,500$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54515751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb03c…7db3backed Oregon68c1,465$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.83785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oregon79c1,387$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2330949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Iowa31c1,336$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.355641.1%23 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed Iowa31c1,198$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.241338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e6…c0a9backed Iowa24c1,006$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Oregon69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3109947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Oregon64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3607448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Oregon69c968.12$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.126650%33 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Oregon69c874.71$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.166162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Oregon43c856.71$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oregon68c848$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.3350358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Iowa32c813.42$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.1634529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Iowa31c776.99$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.876241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oregon66c762.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4117361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cf…dbadbacked Iowa33c750$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Iowa31c703.27$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Iowa32c654$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2820450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon77c625$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Iowa36c587$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3229249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa56e…9d30backed Oregon70c563$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7798…865bbacked Iowa32c562.53$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd84…7fe0backed Oregon66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd265…5521backed Iowa20c489.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Iowa24c481.52$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7510555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Oregon66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.555060%30 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Oregon74c390$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.46163.9%39 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x350d…b898backed Iowa37c378.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Oregon68c375$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207856.4%44 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Iowa33c371.72$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.312931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Iowa28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Iowa35c342.14$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6413450.7%68 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Oregon74c336.35$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.451275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9363…fbfabacked Oregon73c330$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.174555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oregon69c325.93$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3257144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Iowa31c316$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9620757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Oregon67c315$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.957660.5%46 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Iowa32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f24…a537backed Iowa32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b9…9507backed Oregon65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d60…f02bbacked Iowa36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f76…e72bbacked Oregon68c294.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.18757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Oregon69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862528%7 W · 18 L-6.5wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Iowa35c282.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Iowa7c273$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b85…f739backed Oregon66c265.15$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.15683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Iowa38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe81…5fe9backed Iowa31c253.76$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.412437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.